Union Berlin vs FC St Pauli: Best Odds & AI Betting Tip for the Bundesliga Clash at Stadion An der Alten Försterei

It's elite football in the Bundesliga on 04/05/2026 as Union Berlin lock horns with FC St Pauli at Stadion An der Alten Försterei — kick-off at 13:30. Both clubs know what it takes to compete at the highest level, and the numbers back that up. Union Berlin (9.) have conceded just goals per game on average and lost their last match 4 - 0 against Bayern Munich. In the last 6 months they have won 5 of their 22 games. FC St Pauli (16.) lost 1 - 2 against SC Freiburg and have averaged goals per game this season. Crunching all the data, our AI model gives a 39% probability to Union Berlin winning and underlining their quality at this level.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the Bundesliga Fixture

Top odds for the Bundesliga match Union Berlin vs FC St Pauli

Three-Way Bet

 ProbabilityUnion Berlin39%Draw28%FC St Pauli33%9/841/1823/8Odd last updated:13/1243/2031/10Odd last updated:11/1011/529/10Odd last updated:

Form Analysis and Performance Comparison

Union Berlin Form

Last 5 games

LLLWL

Union Berlin most recently faced Bayern Munich, losing the match 4 - 0. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.

Union Berlin's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 5 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats from 22 games. At home, they have won 3 of 11 games, scoring 14 goals and conceding 16 on their own turf.

Over their last 22 matches, Union Berlin have found the net 22 times — that's 1 goals per game on average. They have conceded 35 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 3 wins and 3 defeats from 11 home fixtures.

FC St Pauli Form

Last 5 games

LLDWW

FC St Pauli's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against SC Freiburg — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. They travel to Stadion An der Alten Försterei for this Bundesliga fixture on Sunday.

FC St Pauli's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 4 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats from 22 games. Away from home, they have won 1 of 12 games, scoring 8 goals and conceding 22 on the road.

Looking at FC St Pauli's recent run of 22 games, they have netted 16 goals at a rate of 0.73 per game. Defensively, they have let in 36 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, FC St Pauli have won 1 and lost 9 of their 12 away games in this stretch.

Stats per Game

Union Berlin FC St Pauli

Goals scored

0.8

0.8

Corners

4.3

3.7

Fouls

11.5

9.1

Saves

2.5

3.6

Bundesliga

Bundesliga Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Bayern Munich	27	72	70
2	Borussia Dortmund	27	30	61
3	VfB Stuttgart	27	20	53
· · · 4 places · · ·
8	SC Freiburg	27	-5	37
9	Union Berlin Home	27	-15	31
10	FC Augsburg	27	-17	31
· · · 4 places · · ·
15	1.FC Cologne	27	-9	26
16	FC St Pauli Away	27	-20	24
17	VfL Wolfsburg	27	-22	21

Last Meetings

11/23/2025

FC St Pauli
Union Berlin

0-1

01/26/2025

FC St Pauli
Union Berlin

3-0

08/30/2024

Union Berlin
FC St Pauli

1-0

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ Union Berlin ■ FC St Pauli