The Eredivisie is where reputations are built and defended — and on , matchday 10 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel will add another chapter to that story. Sparta Rotterdam (13.) won their last game 3 - 2 against Willem II Tilburg — a result that left them in confident mood heading into this top-flight encounter. Ajax Amsterdam (4.) have scored goals this season and won 2 - 5 against FC Groningen last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 2 of their 6 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 45% probability for Ajax Amsterdam to prove their top-flight credentials on the road.
The Most Popular Betting Tips for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam with Current Odds
Three-Way BetAjax Amsterdam45%8/15·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals88%4/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals73%15/16·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way BetSparta Rotterdam 34% · X 21% · Ajax Amsterdam 45%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 84% · No 16%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 88% · Under 12%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 73% · Under 27%Correct Score2-110%1-19%1-08%
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam: who will win?
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Current odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam
ProbabilitySparta Rotterdam34%Draw21%Ajax Amsterdam45%
67/1634/98/15Odd last updated:
6/14/11/3Odd last updated:
17/415/49/20Odd last updated:
67/1634/98/15Odd last updated:
6/14/11/3Odd last updated:17/415/49/20Odd last updated:How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown
Sparta Rotterdam Form
Last 5 games
WDLLD
On the previous matchday, Sparta Rotterdam went up against Willem II Tilburg and came away with all three points at 3 - 2. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.
Over the past 6 months, Sparta Rotterdam have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 6 games. At home they have picked up 1 wins from 3 fixtures, losing 1. They have scored 11 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.83 per game.
A closer look at Sparta Rotterdam's last 6 games reveals a side that has scored 11 goals and conceded 18. Their home performances stand out: 1 wins from 3 home fixtures, with 1 defeats — averaging 1.83 goals scored and 3 conceded per game.
Ajax Amsterdam Form
Last 5 games
WDDLD
Ajax Amsterdam's last competitive outing ended 2 - 5 against FC Groningen — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel for this Eredivisie fixture on .
The last 6 months have seen Ajax Amsterdam play 6 competitive matches, winning 2 and losing 1. Of their 3 away games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost . They have scored 11 goals home and away combined, conceding 7.
A closer look at Ajax Amsterdam's last 6 games reveals a side that has scored 11 goals and conceded 7. Their away performances stand out: 2 wins from 3 away fixtures, with defeats — averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax Amsterdam
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Eredivisie
Eredivisie Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord Rotterdam | 9 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 |  Alkmaar Zaanstreek | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax Amsterdam Away | 9 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 |  Twente Enschede | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| · · · 6 places · · · | ||||
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam Home | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 9 | -8 | 9 |
Last Meetings
03/14/2026
Ajax Amsterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
4-0
10/04/2025
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax Amsterdam
3-3
04/27/2025
Ajax Amsterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
12/22/2024
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax Amsterdam
0-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Sparta Rotterdam
■ Ajax Amsterdam
