All roads lead to Red Bull Arena on as RB Leipzig (3.) host FC St Pauli (16.) in matchday 33 of the Bundesliga — the association's top competition serves up a fixture that carries the full weight of top-flight football. RB Leipzig lost 4 - 1 against Bayer Leverkusen last time out and have scored 28 goals at home this season while conceding 16. FC St Pauli (16.) suffered a loss they will want to put right against Mainz 05 (1 - 2), having won 4 of their last 23 games. Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 60% probability to RB Leipzig taking the points on home soil in the top flight.
Bundesliga Matchday 33: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview
Three-Way BetRB Leipzig60%5/12·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals58%8/15·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipFC St Pauli +1.5 Goals64%19/25·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off
Three-Way BetRB Leipzig 60% · X 21% · FC St Pauli 19%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 55% · No 45%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 58% · Under 42%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 35% · Under 65%Correct Score1-110%2-010%2-110%
Who will win the match?
X
RB Leipzig vs FC St Pauli: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 33
ProbabilityRB Leipzig60%Draw21%FC St Pauli19%
7/18104/2559/10Odd last updated:
4/1115/46/1Odd last updated:
3/87/213/2Odd last updated:
7/18104/2559/10Odd last updated:
4/1115/46/1Odd last updated:3/87/213/2Odd last updated:Form Analysis and Performance Comparison
RB Leipzig Form
Last 5 games
LWWWW
On the previous matchday, RB Leipzig went up against Bayer Leverkusen and suffered a defeat at 4 - 1. The result means there is added pressure to perform in this home fixture.
The last 6 months have seen RB Leipzig play 22 competitive matches, winning 12 and losing 6. Of their 12 home games during this stretch, they have won 7 and lost 3. They have scored 44 goals at home and away combined, conceding 31.
A closer look at RB Leipzig's last 22 games reveals a side that has scored 44 goals and conceded 31. Their home performances stand out: 7 wins from 12 home fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 2 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game.
FC St Pauli Form
Last 5 games
LLDLD
FC St Pauli most recently faced Mainz 05, losing the match 1 - 2. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back and take something from this trip to Red Bull Arena.
Over the past 6 months, FC St Pauli have won 4, drawn 7 and lost 12 of their 23 games. Away from home they have picked up 1 wins from 12 fixtures, losing 8. They have scored 19 goals in total during this period – an average of 0.83 per game.
In their last 23 games, FC St Pauli have scored a total of 19 goals — an average of 0.83 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 37 goals, giving them an average of 1.61 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 12 games on the road.
Stats per Game
RB Leipzig
FC St Pauli
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 32 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 32 | 33 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig Home | 32 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 23 | 58 |
| · · · 10 places · · · | ||||
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 32 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | FC St Pauli Away | 32 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 31 | -25 | 25 |
Last Meetings
01/27/2026
FC St Pauli
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1-1
02/09/2025
RB Leipzig
FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
2-0
10/29/2024
RB Leipzig
FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
4-2
09/22/2024
FC St Pauli
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
0-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ RB Leipzig
■ FC St Pauli
