Premier LeagueMatchday 7 · · St James' Park

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa in the Premier League

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa – matchday 7 of the Premier League kicks off at in St James' Park. Get our expert betting tip now: in-depth analysis, current form and the top odds from the best bookmakers at a glance.
Newcastle United LogoNewcastle United11LLWDW
·
Aston Villa LogoAston Villa15DWWDL
1X223/20CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X231/11RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X29/4ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 3.5 GoalsProbability48% 14/9 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Two Premier League sides meet on at in St James' Park. The home side (11.) suffered defeat last time out against Coventry City F.C. (4 - 1) and have kept 2 wins at home so far this season. The away side drew 2 - 2 against Brentford FC and are averaging goals per game on their travels. Our probabilistic model puts a Aston Villa away win at 58%.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds

Three-Way BetAston Villa58%25/11·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals70%7/11·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals48%14/9·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Valuable betting tip based on statistics and facts

Three-Way BetNewcastle United 22% · X 20% · Aston Villa 58%Newcastle UnitedXAston VillaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 65% · No 35%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 70% · Under 30%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 48% · Under 52%OverUnderCorrect Score1-29%1-18%2-18%

Who will win the match?

Newcastle United
X
Aston Villa
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Full Odds Comparison for the Premier League Clash at St James' Park

 ProbabilityNewcastle United22%Draw20%Aston Villa58%Cosmobet23/2031/1125/11Odd last updated:Velobet11/1014/52/1Odd last updated:Zizobet21/2013/59/4Odd last updated:

Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared

Newcastle United Form
Last 5 games
LLWDW
Newcastle United's last competitive outing ended 4 - 1 against Coventry City F.C. — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. Their next challenge comes at St James' Park on .
Looking at the past 6 months, Newcastle United have taken 2 wins from 7 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 2 victories and 1 defeats. On average they have scored 1.29 and conceded 1.71 goals per game.
Looking at Newcastle United's recent run of 7 games, they have netted 9 goals at a rate of 1.29 per game. Defensively, they have let in 12 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Newcastle United have won 2 and lost 1 of their 3 home games in this stretch.
Aston Villa Form
Last 5 games
DWWDL
Aston Villa most recently faced Brentford FC, drawing the match 2 - 2. It was a result that left the squad with mixed feelings heading into this away fixture.
In the last 6 months, Aston Villa have played 7 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 1 wins and 1 defeats from 3 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 15 goals while conceding 13 – a defensive average of 1.86 per game.
Looking at Aston Villa's recent run of 7 games, they have netted 15 goals at a rate of 2.14 per game. Defensively, they have let in 13 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Aston Villa have won 1 and lost 1 of their 3 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Newcastle United Aston Villa
Goals scored
1.2
1.9
Corners
4
4.3
Fouls
9.3
8.8
Saves
3.4
3.3
Premier League

Premier League Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Manchester City Logo Manchester City61118
2Arsenal London Logo Arsenal London6515
3Brighton & Hove Albion Logo Brighton & Hove Albion61313
· · · 6 places · · ·
10Ipswich Town F.C. Logo Ipswich Town F.C.6-39
11Newcastle United Logo Newcastle United Home508
12Crystal Palace Logo Crystal Palace6-37
· · · 1 place · · ·
14Nottingham Forest Logo Nottingham Forest6-35
15Aston Villa Logo Aston Villa Away6-55
16Sunderland A.F.C. Logo Sunderland A.F.C.6-64
Last Meetings
01/25/2026
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
0-2
08/16/2025
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
0-0
04/19/2025
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
4-1
12/26/2024
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
3-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Newcastle United ■ Aston Villa

Our AI-Driven Best Tip for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa on

Derby day demands a sharper eye for value — and our model provides exactly that. Looking beyond the emotion, we rate Aston Villa to claim a famous derby win on the road at 58% probability, best odds 25/11 at Cosmobet. Our best overall pick for this Premier League derby is "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" — 48% probability and odds of 14/9 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals14/9Place betT&C's apply | +18