Our Best Betting Tips for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix on Matchday 23

The A-League sets the standard — and matchday 23 raises the bar further as Melbourne Victory (3.) host Wellington Phoenix (8.) at AAMI Park on 04/05/2026 at 5:00. Melbourne Victory won their last outing 4 - 1 against Central Coast Mariners and have won 5 from 10 home games in this period — a record that makes them a tough opponent in the A-League. Wellington Phoenix were in fine form against Brisbane Roar (1 - 2), having scored goals this season — an average of per game. Our statistical model and AI-powered probability calculation both point to a 49% likelihood of Melbourne Victory winning this top-flight home fixture and keeping their season on track.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds

Full Odds Comparison for the A-League Clash at AAMI Park

Three-Way Bet

 ProbabilityMelbourne Victory49%Draw22%Wellington Phoenix29%11/2073/2075/17Odd last updated:12/2350/1322/5Odd last updated:1/27/25/1Odd last updated:

How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown

Melbourne Victory Form

Last 5 games

WDDWD

Melbourne Victory most recently faced Central Coast Mariners, winning the match 4 - 1. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood ahead of this next challenge.

Melbourne Victory's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 9 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats from 21 games. At home, they have won 5 of 10 games, scoring 20 goals and conceding 10 on their own turf.

Melbourne Victory's most recent 21 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 34 goals (1.62 per game) while conceding 27 (1.29 per game). In terms of home performances, Melbourne Victory have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their 10 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.

Wellington Phoenix Form

Last 5 games

WWDLL

The last outing for Wellington Phoenix was against Brisbane Roar — a match they won 1 - 2. A win that will have boosted confidence ahead of this away trip.

Over the past 6 months, Wellington Phoenix have won 7, drawn 6 and lost 9 of their 22 games. Away from home they have picked up 3 wins from 10 fixtures, losing 3. They have scored 33 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.5 per game.

Over their last 22 matches, Wellington Phoenix have found the net 33 times — that's 1.5 goals per game on average. They have conceded 41 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 3 wins and 3 defeats from 10 away fixtures.

Stats per Game

Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix

Goals scored

1.9

1.4

Corners

7.2

5

Fouls

8.3

8.8

Saves

2.6

2.7

A-League

A-League Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Newcastle United Jets	22	13	43
2	Auckland FC	22	14	39
3	Melbourne Victory Home	22	10	35
4	Adelaide United	22	7	35
· · · 2 places · · ·
7	Central Coast Mariners	21	-3	27
8	Wellington Phoenix Away	22	-8	27
9	Melbourne City	21	-6	26

Last Meetings

02/06/2026

Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory

2-3

12/29/2025

Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix

5-1

04/12/2025

Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory

2-3

02/14/2025

Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix

1-0

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ Melbourne Victory ■ Wellington Phoenix