The A-League is where reputations are built and defended — and on , matchday 25 at AAMI Park will add another chapter to that story. Melbourne Victory (5.) drew their last game 2 - 2 against Auckland FC — a result that left them searching for more in their next home fixture. Newcastle United Jets (1.) have scored goals this season and drew 1 - 1 against Adelaide United last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 14 of their 24 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 41% probability for Newcastle United Jets to prove their top-flight credentials on the road.
Betting Tips and Odds for Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets – All in One Place
Three-Way BetNewcastle United Jets5/25/2·VelobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals3/83/8·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X210/1110/11·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way BetMelbourne Victory 37% · X 22% · Newcastle United Jets 41%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 68% · No 32%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 68% · Under 32%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 46% · Under 54%Correct Score1-19%1-28%2-18%
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets: who will win?
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Best Available Odds for Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets on
ProbabilityMelbourne Victory37%Draw22%Newcastle United Jets41%
10/1125/8122/49Odd last updated:
15/1616/540/17Odd last updated:
17/2016/55/2Odd last updated:
10/1125/8122/49Odd last updated:15/1616/540/17Odd last updated:17/2016/55/2Odd last updated:How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown
Melbourne Victory Form
Last 5 games
DLWDD
Melbourne Victory's last competitive outing ended 2 - 2 against Auckland FC — a draw that will have felt like a missed opportunity. Their next challenge comes at AAMI Park on .
Melbourne Victory's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 9 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats from 23 games. At home, they have won 5 of 11 games, scoring 20 goals and conceding 11 on their own turf.
A closer look at Melbourne Victory's last 23 games reveals a side that has scored 36 goals and conceded 30. Their home performances stand out: 5 wins from 11 home fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Newcastle United Jets Form
Last 5 games
DLWLW
The most recent game for Newcastle United Jets saw them take on Adelaide United, with the match ending 1 - 1. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better on their travels. They now make the trip to AAMI Park for this A-League clash.
In the last 6 months, Newcastle United Jets have played 24 games, winning 14 of them. Their away record in that period reads 8 wins and 3 defeats from 12 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 49 goals while conceding 37 – a defensive average of 1.54 per game.
Looking at Newcastle United Jets's recent run of 24 games, they have netted 49 goals at a rate of 2.04 per game. Defensively, they have let in 37 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Newcastle United Jets have won 8 and lost 3 of their 12 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Melbourne Victory Newcastle United Jets
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
A-League
A-League Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets Away | 24 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 |  Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 |  Sydney FC | 24 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 |  Adelaide United | 24 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory Home | 24 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 |  Melbourne City | 24 | 0 | 35 |
Last Meetings
10/24/2025
Newcastle United Jets
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
5-2
05/04/2025
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle United Jets
Newcastle United Jets
1-1
02/08/2025
Newcastle United Jets
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
3-0
02/03/2024
Newcastle United Jets
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Melbourne Victory ■ Newcastle United Jets
