Playing in the Bundesliga means competing at the highest level the association has to offer — and matchday 33 brings a fixture that lives up to that standard. Mainz 05 (10.) host Union Berlin (13.) at Opel Arena on at . Mainz 05 won their last game 1 - 2 against FC St Pauli and have conceded goals this season. The visitors (Union Berlin., 13.) had to settle for a point against 1.FC Cologne (2 - 2). Our statistical evaluation gives a 47% probability to Mainz 05 taking the win on the top-flight stage.
The Best Betting Tips for Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin at a Glance
Three-Way BetMainz 0547%5/6·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals53%13/16·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals53%13/16·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical help for successful sports betting
Three-Way BetMainz 05 47% · X 25% · Union Berlin 28%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 56% · No 44%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 53% · Under 47%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 31% · Under 69%Correct Score1-112%1-010%2-19%
Who will win the match?
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Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 33
ProbabilityMainz 0547%Draw25%Union Berlin28%
5/669/2519/6Odd last updated:
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4/527/1031/10Odd last updated:4/527/1031/10Odd last updated:Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared
Mainz 05 Form
Last 5 games
WLDLW
The most recent game for Mainz 05 saw them take on FC St Pauli, with the match ending 1 - 2. The win is a timely confidence boost ahead of this next fixture. They head into this Bundesliga fixture at Opel Arena on looking to build on recent performances.
Over the past 6 months, Mainz 05 have won 7, drawn 8 and lost 7 of their 22 games. At home they have picked up 4 wins from 11 fixtures, losing 3. They have scored 29 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.32 per game.
A closer look at Mainz 05's last 22 games reveals a side that has scored 29 goals and conceded 33. Their home performances stand out: 4 wins from 11 home fixtures, with 3 defeats — averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Union Berlin Form
Last 5 games
DLLLD
The last outing for Union Berlin was against 1.FC Cologne — a match they drew 2 - 2. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
Looking at the past 6 months, Union Berlin have taken 4 wins from 22 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Opel Arena. Their away games during this period have produced 2 victories and 7 defeats. On average they have scored 1.14 and conceded 1.91 goals per game.
Over their last 22 matches, Union Berlin have found the net 25 times — that's 1.14 goals per game on average. They have conceded 42 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 2 wins and 7 defeats from 11 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 32 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 32 | 33 | 67 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 32 | 21 | 62 |
| · · · 5 places · · · | ||||
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 32 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 Home | 32 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 |  Borussia M'gladbach | 32 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 32 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Union Berlin Away | 32 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |  1.FC Cologne | 32 | -8 | 32 |
Last Meetings
01/10/2026
Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2-2
01/19/2025
Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2-1
08/24/2024
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1-1
02/07/2024
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Mainz 05
■ Union Berlin
