Primeira LigaMatchday 9 · · FC Alverca Sports Complex

F.C. Alverca - F.C. Arouca Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds

The Primeira Liga is the pinnacle of football in its association — and matchday 9 delivers a compelling fixture. F.C. Alverca (8.) host F.C. Arouca (5.) at FC Alverca Sports Complex on at . Our AI-powered model breaks down the form, stats and head-to-head record to deliver the best betting tip with top odds.
F.C. Alverca LogoF.C. Alverca8WLDLW
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F.C. Arouca LogoF.C. Arouca5WWWDL
1X29/8RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X223/10ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X223/10VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 2.5 GoalsProbability66% 19/20 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

The Primeira Liga sets the standard — and matchday 9 raises the bar further as F.C. Alverca (8.) host F.C. Arouca (5.) at FC Alverca Sports Complex on at . F.C. Alverca won their last outing 1 - 4 against FC Famalicão and have won 1 from 2 home games in this period — a record that makes them a tough opponent in the Primeira Liga. F.C. Arouca were in fine form against C.F. Estrela da Amadora (1 - 0), having scored goals this season — an average of per game. Our statistical model and AI-powered probability calculation both point to a 51% likelihood of F.C. Alverca winning this top-flight home fixture and keeping their season on track.

The Best Bets for F.C. Alverca vs F.C. Arouca on

Three-Way BetF.C. Alverca51%29/25·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals66%19/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals66%19/20·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetF.C. Alverca 51% · X 22% · F.C. Arouca 27%F.C. AlvercaXF.C. AroucaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 65% · No 35%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 66% · Under 34%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 44% · Under 56%OverUnderCorrect Score0-123%0-017%0-216%

F.C. Alverca vs F.C. Arouca: who will win?

F.C. Alverca
X
F.C. Arouca
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Best Available Odds for F.C. Alverca vs F.C. Arouca on

 ProbabilityF.C. Alverca51%Draw22%F.C. Arouca27%Cosmobet29/2517/819/7Odd last updated:Velobet11/1012/523/10Odd last updated:Zizobet21/2023/1012/5Odd last updated:

Direct comparison (h2h) of F.C. Alverca and F.C. Arouca

F.C. Alverca Form
Last 5 games
WLDLW
F.C. Alverca's last competitive outing ended 1 - 4 against FC Famalicão — a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at FC Alverca Sports Complex on .
Looking at the past 6 months, F.C. Alverca have taken 2 wins from 5 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 1 victories and defeats. On average they have scored 1.4 and conceded 1 goals per game.
A closer look at F.C. Alverca's last 5 games reveals a side that has scored 7 goals and conceded 5. Their home performances stand out: 1 wins from 2 home fixtures, with defeats — averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
F.C. Arouca Form
Last 5 games
WWWDL
On the previous matchday, F.C. Arouca went up against C.F. Estrela da Amadora and came away with all three points at 1 - 0. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming away fixture.
In the last 6 months, F.C. Arouca have played 5 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 1 wins and 1 defeats from 2 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 10 goals while conceding 6 – a defensive average of 1.2 per game.
F.C. Arouca's most recent 5 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 10 goals (2 per game) while conceding 6 (1.2 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, F.C. Arouca have won 1, drawn and lost 1 of their 2 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Stats per Game
F.C. Alverca F.C. Arouca
Goals scored
1.5
1.6
Corners
4.8
4.1
Fouls
12.7
12.7
Saves
2.8
1.9
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto81624
2Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon81719
3Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP81118
4CD Santa Clara Logo CD Santa Clara8818
5F.C. Arouca Logo F.C. Arouca Away8414
6Academico Viseu8114
7FC Gil Vicente Logo FC Gil Vicente7111
8F.C. Alverca Logo F.C. Alverca Home8111
9Sporting Braga Logo Sporting Braga7011
Last Meetings
04/24/2026
F.C. Alverca
F.C. Arouca
2-1
12/14/2025
F.C. Arouca
F.C. Alverca
1-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ F.C. Alverca ■ F.C. Arouca

F.C. Alverca vs F.C. Arouca: AI Analysis and Our Top Bet for Matchday 9

Our statistical model points towards F.C. Alverca making the most of home advantage — a 51% probability, with the best odds of 29/25 at Cosmobet. When combining probability and value, our single best tip for this Primeira Liga match is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — backed by a 66% probability and odds of 19/20 at Zizobet.Best Tip Over 2.5 Goals19/20Place betT&C's apply | +18