Premier LeagueMatchday 33 · · The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Derry City FC - St Patrick's Athletic FC Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds

Top-level Premier League action arrives on as Derry City FC open their doors at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium to rivals St Patrick's Athletic FC. Positions 5 and 3 in the table do battle in matchday 33 - our AI-powered statistical analysis, probability-based prediction and best odds on the market are all right here.
Derry City FC LogoDerry City FC5LLWDL
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St Patrick's Athletic FC LogoSt Patrick's Athletic FC3LWLWW
1X259/22CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X237/15CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X223/20VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability57% 13/14 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

The Premier League is the pinnacle of the game in its association — and matchday 33 delivers a fixture worthy of that billing. Derry City FC (5.) host St Patrick's Athletic FC (3.) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium on at . The hosts lost their last outing 2 - 0 against Drogheda United F.C. and have won 3 of their last 14 games — determined to show they belong at this level with a strong home performance. St Patrick's Athletic FC lost 1 - 2 against Shelbourne F.C. last time out. Our statistical model gives a 36% probability to St Patrick's Athletic FC making the most of home advantage in the top flight.

The Most Popular Betting Tips for Derry City FC vs St Patrick's Athletic FC with Current Odds

Three-Way BetSt Patrick's Athletic FC36%23/20·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals57%13/14·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals57%13/14·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetDerry City FC 36% · X 28% · St Patrick's Athletic FC 36%Derry City FCXSt Patrick's Athletic FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 43% · Under 57%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 22% · Under 78%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%0-111%1-011%

Derry City FC vs St Patrick's Athletic FC: who will win?

Derry City FC
X
St Patrick's Athletic FC
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Best Derry City FC vs St Patrick's Athletic FC pre-match odds

 ProbabilityDerry City FC36%Draw28%St Patrick's Athletic FC36%Cosmobet59/2237/15101/100Odd last updated:Velobet19/1023/1023/20Odd last updated:Rollino29/1212/521/20Odd last updated:

Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared

Derry City FC Form
Last 5 games
LLWDL
The most recent game for Derry City FC saw them take on Drogheda United F.C., with the match ending 2 - 0. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Premier League fixture at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium on looking to build on recent performances.
Derry City FC's most recent 14 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 16 goals (1.14 per game) while conceding 17 (1.21 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, Derry City FC have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their 7 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
In their last 14 games, Derry City FC have scored a total of 16 goals – an average of 1.14 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 17 goals, giving them an average of 1.21 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 3 wins from 7 games.
St Patrick's Athletic FC Form
Last 5 games
LWLWW
The most recent game for St Patrick's Athletic FC saw them take on Shelbourne F.C., with the match ending 1 - 2. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response when they visit The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. They now make the trip to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium for this Premier League clash.
Over the past 6 months, St Patrick's Athletic FC have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their 12 games. Away from home they have picked up wins from 5 fixtures, losing 2. They have scored 18 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.5 per game.
In their last 12 games, St Patrick's Athletic FC have scored a total of 18 goals — an average of 1.5 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 11 goals, giving them an average of 0.92 against per game. Their away record in that period shows wins from 5 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Derry City FC St Patrick's Athletic FC
Goals scored
1.3
1.3
Corners
5.5
7.3
Fouls
11.3
8.6
Saves
1.5
2
Premier League

Premier League | IRE Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Shamrock Rovers FC Logo Shamrock Rovers FC341965
2Bohemian FC Logo Bohemian FC341962
3St Patrick's Athletic FC Logo St Patrick's Athletic FC Away332659
4Shelbourne F.C. Logo Shelbourne F.C.34246
5Derry City FC Logo Derry City FC Home33141
6Galway United F.C. Logo Galway United F.C.33-441
Last Meetings
05/22/2026
Derry City FC
St Patrick's Athletic FC
0-0
03/16/2026
St Patrick's Athletic FC
Derry City FC
0-0
08/29/2025
Derry City FC
St Patrick's Athletic FC
2-2
06/23/2025
St Patrick's Athletic FC
Derry City FC
0-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Derry City FC ■ St Patrick's Athletic FC

Our AI Betting Tip for Derry City FC vs St Patrick's Athletic FC

Derby day demands a sharper eye for value — and our model provides exactly that. Looking beyond the emotion, we rate St Patrick's Athletic FC to claim a famous derby win on the road at 36% probability, best odds 23/20 at Velobet. Our best overall pick for this Premier League derby is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 57% probability and odds of 13/14 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals13/14Place betT&C's apply | +18