Primeira LigaMatchday 32 · · Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs CD Tondela: AI-Powered Prediction & Best Betting Odds

Every point counts at the wrong end of the table. Casa Pia (16.) host CD Tondela (17.) on at Estádio Pina Manique — a matchday 32 clash in the Primeira Liga that neither side can afford to lose. Our AI-powered model breaks down the form, crunches the numbers and delivers the best betting tip with top odds.
Casa Pia LogoCasa Pia16LLDLD
·
CD Tondela LogoCD Tondela17DLLDL
1X217/13PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X243/20PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X239/20RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability62% 2/3 Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Top-flight football in the Primeira Liga doesn't get much more compelling than this. Casa Pia (16.) welcome CD Tondela (17.) to Estádio Pina Manique on at in matchday 32 of the season. Casa Pia have scored goals this season at an average of per game and lost their last fixture 2 - 1 against FC Gil Vicente. CD Tondela (17.) could only manage a point against Sporting CP (2 - 2), having won 3 of their last 22 games. Our model gives a 36% probability to Casa Pia winning this top-flight showdown at 36%.

Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 32 of the Primeira Liga

Three-Way BetCasa Pia17/1317/13·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals2/32/3·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals2/32/3·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetCasa Pia 36% · X 29% · CD Tondela 35%Casa PiaXCD TondelaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 45% · No 55%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 38% · Under 62%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 18% · Under 82%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%0-112%1-012%

Casa Pia vs CD Tondela: who will win?

Casa Pia
X
CD Tondela
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Top odds for the Primeira Liga match Casa Pia vs CD Tondela

 ProbabilityCasa Pia36%Draw29%CD Tondela35%Cosmobet17/1315/726/11Velobet5/423/1011/5Odd last updated:Zizobet5/411/523/10Odd last updated:Palmslots23/1843/2043/20Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

Casa Pia Form
Last 5 games
LLDLD
Casa Pia's last competitive outing ended 2 - 1 against FC Gil Vicente — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. Their next challenge comes at Estádio Pina Manique on .
Casa Pia's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 3 wins, 9 draws and 10 defeats from 22 games. At home, they have won 2 of 11 games, scoring 14 goals and conceding 17 on their own turf.
Over their last 22 matches, Casa Pia have found the net 21 times — that's 0.95 goals per game on average. They have conceded 38 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 2 wins and 3 defeats from 11 home fixtures.
CD Tondela Form
Last 5 games
DLLDL
On the previous matchday, CD Tondela went up against Sporting CP and came away with a point at 2 - 2. The result means they head to Estádio Pina Manique looking to find a winner away from home.
Looking at the past 6 months, CD Tondela have taken 3 wins from 22 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Estádio Pina Manique. Their away games during this period have produced 2 victories and 5 defeats. On average they have scored 0.86 and conceded 1.59 goals per game.
CD Tondela's most recent 22 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 19 goals (0.86 per game) while conceding 35 (1.59 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, CD Tondela have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their 10 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Estádio Pina Manique.
Stats per Game
Casa Pia CD Tondela
Goals scored
0.7
0.9
Corners
4.1
4.9
Fouls
16.4
13.7
Saves
2.6
3
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto314882
2Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon314775
3Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP305572
· · · 11 places · · ·
15C.F. Estrela da Amadora Logo C.F. Estrela da Amadora31-1728
16Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia Home31-2626
17CD Tondela Logo CD Tondela Away30-2921
18AVS Futebol SAD Logo AVS Futebol SAD31-4314
Last Meetings
12/21/2025
CD Tondela
Casa Pia
1-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Casa Pia ■ CD Tondela

Casa Pia vs CD Tondela: Our Statistical Model's Top Betting Tip

The Primeira Liga basement battle comes into sharp focus on — and our model has found the sharpest value in this tense encounter. The most probable outcome is Casa Pia to claim the three points that could be a turning point in their survival bid — 36% probability, best odds 17/13 at Cosmobet. The Double Chance 12 at 71% is a well-suited option for a match likely to be decided by the finest of margins. Our AI tip for this fixture is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 62% probability, odds 2/3 at Palmslots.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals2/3Place betT&C's apply | +18