The Primeira Liga is where reputations are built and defended – and on at , Benfica Lisbon and Vitoria Guimarães add another chapter to that story at Estádio da Luz in Lissabon. Benfica Lisbon (3., pts) come into matchday 27 having won their last game 1 - 2 against F.C. Arouca – a result that left them in confident mood heading into this top-flight encounter. Vitoria Guimarães (9.) have scored goals this season and lost 1 - 2 against FC Famalicão last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 7 of their 21 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 56% probability for Benfica Lisbon to come out on top and cement their standing in the Primeira Liga.
Best Odds and Betting Tips for the Primeira Liga Clash in Lissabon
Three-Way Bet56%Benfica Lisbon3/10Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.558%Over 2.5 Goals11/18Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Expert Tip68%Vitoria Guimarães +1.5 Goals1/1Visit VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way Bet56%Benfica Lisbon22%X22%Vitoria GuimarãesBoth Teams To Score Yes/No57%Yes 43%NoCorrect Score10%1-110%2-19%2-0
Total Goals Over/Under 2.558%Over 42%UnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.535%Over 65%Under
The Most Competitive Odds Across All Major Bookmakers
ProbabilityBenfica Lisbon56%Draw22%Vitoria Guimarães22%
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7/2569/14202/21Odd last updated:2/743/1037/5Odd last updated:1/49/210/1Odd last updated:3/1017/417/2Odd last updated:7/2541/1039/4Odd last updated:3/1023/57/1Odd last updated:Head-to-Head: Recent Form and Key Performance Indicators
Benfica Lisbon FormBenfica Lisbon's last competitive outing ended 1 - 2 against F.C. Arouca – a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at Estádio da Luz in Lissabon on .Benfica Lisbon's most recent 22 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 48 goals (2.18 per game) while conceding 15 (0.68 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, Benfica Lisbon have won 7, drawn 4 and lost of their 11 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.Over their last 22 matches, Benfica Lisbon have found the net 48 times – that's 2.18 goals per game on average. They have conceded 15 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 7 wins and defeats from 11 home fixtures. On average, they produce shots on goal per game.
Vitoria Guimarães FormVitoria Guimarães most recently faced FC Famalicão, losing the match 1 - 2. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back and take something from this trip to Lissabon.The last 6 months have seen Vitoria Guimarães play 21 competitive matches, winning 7 and losing 10. Of their 9 away games during this stretch, they have won 2 and lost 6. They have scored 23 goals home and away combined, conceding 31.A closer look at Vitoria Guimarães's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 23 goals and conceded 31. Their away performances stand out: 2 wins from 9 away fixtures, with 6 defeats. They average 13.4 total shots and 3.8 corners per game.
Last MeetingsVitoria GuimarãesBenfica Lisbon11/01/20250-3Vitoria GuimarãesBenfica Lisbon04/19/20250-3Benfica LisbonVitoria Guimarães12/07/20241-0Vitoria GuimarãesBenfica Lisbon02/11/20242-2
