On , the Premier League matchday 8 brings Aston Villa and Manchester City together at Villa Park — kick-off at . The hosts currently sit 12. in the table, having picked up three points in their last outing 0 - 1 against Newcastle United. Their last game against Ipswich Town F.C. ended 3 - 2. Our AI-powered model arrives at a 49% probability for Aston Villa to secure a home win.
Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Three-Way BetAston Villa49%18/5·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals81%11/20·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance 1X70%19/16·RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Statistical help for successful sports betting
Three-Way BetAston Villa 49% · X 21% · Manchester City 30%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 78% · No 22%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 81% · Under 19%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 64% · Under 36%Correct Score1-28%2-17%2-27%
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: who will win?
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Best Aston Villa vs Manchester City pre-match odds
ProbabilityAston Villa49%Draw21%Manchester City30%
45/1375/238/11Odd last updated:
10/316/57/10Odd last updated:
7/214/57/10Odd last updated:
45/1375/238/11Odd last updated:
10/316/57/10Odd last updated:7/214/57/10Odd last updated:Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared
Aston Villa Form
Last 5 games
WDWWD
Aston Villa's last competitive outing ended 0 - 1 against Newcastle United — a win that sends them into this fixture in fine fettle. Their next challenge comes at Villa Park on .
The last 6 months have seen Aston Villa play 7 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing 2. Of their 3 home games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost 1. They have scored 12 goals at home and away combined, conceding 10.
In their last 7 games, Aston Villa have scored a total of 12 goals – an average of 1.71 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 10 goals, giving them an average of 1.43 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 1 wins from 3 games.
Manchester City Form
Last 5 games
WWLDW
Manchester City most recently faced Ipswich Town F.C., winning the match 3 - 2. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood as they travel to Villa Park.
Manchester City's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 7 games. Away from home, they have won 1 of 3 games, scoring 7 goals and conceding 4 on the road.
In their last 7 games, Manchester City have scored a total of 17 goals — an average of 2.43 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 8 goals, giving them an average of 1.14 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 3 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Premier League
Premier League Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City Away | 7 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal London | 7 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 7 | 18 | 16 |
| · · · 7 places · · · | ||||
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa Home | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Last Meetings
05/24/2026
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1-2
10/26/2025
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Manchester City
1-0
04/22/2025
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2-1
12/21/2024
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Manchester City
2-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Aston Villa
■ Manchester City
