Seria AMatchday 36 · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: AC Milano vs Atalanta Bergamo — Seria A Matchday 36

It's Seria A football at its finest. AC Milano and Atalanta Bergamo collide on at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a matchday 36 encounter that has quality written all over it. With AC Milano last going 2 - 0 against US Sassuolo and Atalanta Bergamo recording 0 - 0 against CFC Genua, our statistical preview finds the sharpest betting value.
AC Milano LogoAC Milano3LDWLL
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Atalanta Bergamo LogoAtalanta Bergamo7DLDLW
1X221/20ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X257/23RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X227/10RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability62% 21/20 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Derby day at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza — AC Milano host fierce local rivals Atalanta Bergamo on at in matchday 36 of the Seria A. The hosts (3.) suffered a defeat in their last outing 2 - 0 against US Sassuolo, while the visitors (7.) came away with a point most recently. Our statistical model gives Atalanta Bergamo the edge as the form side at 40%.

Seria A Matchday 36: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview

Three-Way BetAtalanta Bergamo27/1027/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals21/2021/20·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals21/2021/20·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetAC Milano 31% · X 29% · Atalanta Bergamo 40%AC MilanoXAtalanta BergamoBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 44% · No 56%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 38% · Under 62%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 18% · Under 82%OverUnderCorrect Score0-113%1-113%1-011%

AC Milano vs Atalanta Bergamo: who will win?

AC Milano
X
Atalanta Bergamo
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Current odds for AC Milano vs Atalanta Bergamo

 ProbabilityAC Milano31%Draw29%Atalanta Bergamo40%Cosmobet8/726/1127/10Odd last updated:Velobet21/2013/55/2Odd last updated:Zizobet11/1012/513/5Odd last updated:

Head-to-Head: Recent Form and Key Performance Indicators

AC Milano Form
Last 5 games
LDWLL
The most recent game for AC Milano saw them take on US Sassuolo, with the match ending 2 - 0. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Seria A fixture at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on looking to build on recent performances.
Looking at the past 6 months, AC Milano have taken 13 wins from 24 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 5 victories and 2 defeats. On average they have scored 1.38 and conceded 0.88 goals per game.
Looking at AC Milano's recent run of 24 games, they have netted 33 goals at a rate of 1.38 per game. Defensively, they have let in 21 goals over the same period. At home specifically, AC Milano have won 5 and lost 2 of their 11 home games in this stretch.
Atalanta Bergamo Form
Last 5 games
DLDLW
The last outing for Atalanta Bergamo was against CFC Genua — a match they drew 0 - 0. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
Over the past 6 months, Atalanta Bergamo have won 12, drawn 6 and lost 7 of their 25 games. Away from home they have picked up 4 wins from 12 fixtures, losing 4. They have scored 34 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.36 per game.
In their last 25 games, Atalanta Bergamo have scored a total of 34 goals — an average of 1.36 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 24 goals, giving them an average of 0.96 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 4 wins from 12 games on the road.
Stats per Game
AC Milano Atalanta Bergamo
Goals scored
0.8
1.3
Corners
3.2
6.5
Fouls
9.8
10.8
Saves
3
2.3
Seria A

Seria A Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Inter Milano Logo Inter Milano355182
2SSC Napoli Logo SSC Napoli351970
3AC Milano Logo AC Milano Home351967
4Juventus Torino Logo Juventus Torino352865
· · · 1 place · · ·
6Como Calcio 1907 Logo Como Calcio 1907353162
7Atalanta Bergamo Logo Atalanta Bergamo Away351555
8Lazio Roma Logo Lazio Roma35551
Last Meetings
10/28/2025
Atalanta Bergamo
AC Milano
1-1
04/20/2025
AC Milano
Atalanta Bergamo
0-1
12/06/2024
Atalanta Bergamo
AC Milano
2-1
02/25/2024
AC Milano
Atalanta Bergamo
1-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ AC Milano ■ Atalanta Bergamo

Betting Tip from Our Statistical Model for the Derby Between AC Milano and Atalanta Bergamo

When AC Milano and Atalanta Bergamo meet in the Seria A, the stakes go beyond the three points. Our AI-powered model analyses the form and delivers a clear recommendation: Atalanta Bergamo to win the derby and demonstrate their strength away from home — 40% probability, best odds 27/10 at Cosmobet. Our best value bet for this fixture is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 62% probability, odds 21/20 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals21/20Place betT&C's apply | +18