Round 23 of the 2022-23 Spanish La Liga season continues Saturday, February 23, with the Madrid derby from Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, so we have prepared the best Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid betting pick, tips, and odds.
Real Madrid – Atletico Madrid Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (25.2.2023)
We are expecting a great battle between a couple of old foes, and the stake is huge for either side. Real Madrid continue to chase Barcelona for the title, while Atletico Madrid are fighting for Champions League qualification.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: Initial Situation
After the first 22 rounds of the season, Real Madrid are second in La Liga with 51 points (W16, D3, L3) and a 46:17 goal difference. They trail Barcelona by eight points and are eight points above the third-placed Real Sociedad. Atletico Madrid, on the other side, are fourth with 41 points (W12, D5, L5) and a 31:17 goal difference, four points ahead of Betis.
Real Madrid Stats & Form
Los Blancos have won five straight contests in all competitions. After a couple of wins in the FIFA Club World Cup and a pair of La Liga victories over Elche 4-0 and Osasuna 2-0, Los Blancos trounced Liverpool 5-2 on the road in the first leg of the Champions League Round of 16 this past Tuesday. Real Madrid overcame a two-goal deficit at Anfield, as both Karim Benzema and Vinicius Junior scored a brace.
Benzema and Vinicius Junior have accounted for 18 goals apiece so far this season. They’ve also combined for 14 assists. Federico Valverde has 12 goals on his account, while Rodrygo has notched ten goals and eight dishes in 35 appearances in all competitions.
Atletico Madrid Stats & Form
The Indians are undefeated in six consecutive La Liga games, recording four victories in that stretch. They’ve won two straight contests over Celta Vigo 1-0 on the road and Athletic Bilbao 1-0 at home, as the Indians continue to play cautiously under manager Diego Simeone, who’s been at the helm since 2011.
Antoine Griezmann scored the winner against Bilbao last weekend. The 31-year-old forward now has eight goals and nine assists in 2022-23. Striker Alvaro Morata has bagged nine goals in 31 appearances in all competitions, while winger Angel Correa has six goals on his season tally. The Indians are still missing midfielder Thomas Lemar, who’s recovering from a knee injury.
Real Madrid – Atletico Madrid: Head-to-Head
Los Blancos meet the Indians for the third time this season. Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid 2-1 on the road in their league clash in September, and Los Blancos prevailed over the Indians 3-1 in extra time in Copa del Rey last month. The Indians are winless in nine straight visits to Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, though they’ve earned five draws in that stretch.
Real Madrid – Atletico Madrid Odds
The bookmakers favor Real Madrid over Atletico Madrid but wouldn’t be shocked by a draw. They anticipate a low-scoring affair, and the Over 3.0 Goals pays 2.70 at BetVictor Sportsbook.
On paper, Los Blancos are a better team than the Indians, no doubt. However, Los Blancos have traveled a lot over the last couple of weeks due to Club World Cup and Champions League, and I think they’ll struggle with fatigue in this matchup. On the other side, the Indians will be fresh and ready to rumble, hoping to upset their city rivals on the road. I’m backing the visitors to earn a point, at least. As I’ve mentioned, they’ve avoided a loss in five of their previous nine road matches against Real Madrid. Diego Simeone is a great tactician and will prepare his boys for one of the biggest games of the season.
Betting tip and prediction: Real Madrid – Atletico Madrid (25.2.2023)