AC Milan vs. Napoli betting tip and odds (12.4.2023)

Check out the best betting pick and odds for the UEFA Champions League Quarterfinal first leg between AC Milan and Napoli - Click now!
Team 1 Logo DWLDD
12.04.2023 San Siro, Milan, Italy 20:00
Team 2 Logo WLWWW
2,90 1X2 Visit Bet365 #ad | T&C's apply | +18
3,35 1X2 Visit Unibet #ad | T&C's apply | +18
2,60 1X2 Visit 888sport #ad | T&C's apply | +18
Best Tip: Under 2.5 Goals 1,75 Visit Unibet #ad | T&C's apply | +18

The 2022-23 UEFA Champions League quarterfinals continue Wednesday, April 12, so we bring you the best AC Milan vs. Napoli betting pick and odds for the first leg at San Siro in Milan. Three Italian teams have made it to the final eight, and at least one will qualify for the semifinal, so let’s take a closer look.          

AC Milan – Napoli Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (12.4.2023)

Just a week ago, AC Milan trounced Napoli 4-0 on the road in the Italian Serie A. Napoli have dominated Serie A all season and will almost certainly win the domestic title, so the Blues must be highly motivated to get revenge in the Champions League and beat AC Milan at San Siro. 

AC Milan vs. Napoli: Initial Situation 

AC Milan finished second in Group E with ten points (W3, D1, L2) and a 12:7 goal difference. They outlasted Tottenham 1-0 on aggregate in the Round of 16. On the other side, Napoli topped Group A with 15 points (W5, L1) and a 20:6 goal difference. The Blues easily defeated Eintracht Frankfurt 5-0 on aggregate in the previous round. 

AC Milan Stats & Form

That 4-0 dismantling of Napoli was AC Milan’s lone victory in six games in all competitions. In the other five, the Red and Blacks have recorded three draws and a couple of losses. Last Friday, AC Milan played a nil-nil draw against Empoli at home in Serie A, failing to satisfy 1.36 odds. The Red and Blacks have registered three wins, two stalemates, and a 5:1 goal difference over their previous five showings in front of the home crowd. 

The 23-year-old winger Rafael Leao leads the way for AC Milan with 11 goals and ten assists in 37 appearances in all competitions this season. The veteran striker Olivier Giroud has bagged 12 goals across 36 matches, while the 22-year-old midfielder Sandro Tonali has eight dishes and two goals on his season tally. 

Current performance: 50% 2,90 for win Visit Bet365

Napoli Stats & Form

The Blues have won 11 of their previous 13 matches in all competitions. They’ve dropped the other two, falling to Lazio 1-0 and AC Milan 4-0. The Blues are riding an eight-game winning streak away from home, allowing just one goal in that stretch and scoring 19 in return. Last Friday, they beat Lecce 2-1 as 1.65 road favorites in Serie A. 

The 22-year-old winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia leads the charge for the Blues with 14 goals and 16 assists this season. Victor Osimhen, who’s scored 25 goals so far this season, has missed the previous two games against Lecce and AC Milan due to an injury. The 24-year-old striker is questionable to play Wednesday at San Siro, and his eventual absence would be a massive blow for Napoli. Giacomo Raspadori is a backup striker, and he’s bagged just five goals in 23 matches in 2022-23. 

Current performance: 80% 2,60 for win Visit 888sport

AC Milan – Napoli: Head-to-Head

As I’ve mentioned, AC Milan demolished Napoli 4-0 just a week ago. Over the last six encounters between these two rivals, each team has emerged victorious three times. Napoli are undefeated in four straight visits to San Siro, tallying three wins in the process. 

AC Milan – Napoli Odds

The bookmakers are looking for a close battle, and the odds tell the story. The visitors are listed as slight favorites, but this game could easily go three-way, and I would stay away from the side bet. Under 2.5 Goals pays 1.75 at Unibet Sportsbook which seems like a fair prize.  


Betting tip and prediction: AC Milan – Napoli (12.4.2023)

AC Milan’s 4-0 victory over Napoli looks like an outlier. The Red and Blacks have struggled mightily over the last few weeks, and I highly doubt their chances to score more than a goal in this duel. On the other side, Napoli will probably miss their top scorer, so give me Under 2.5 Goals at 1.75 odds with Unibet. The first leg is always a tricky one, and we should see both teams take a cautious approach, trying to record a clean sheet. 

Best Tip: Under 2.5 Goals 1,75 Visit Unibet