Expert Tip: San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC – Best Odds & Forecast

It is the fixture that gets PayPal Park talking — San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC on 04/05/2026 in the MLS. Both sets of supporters know what this match means, and both squads will feel the weight of expectation. San Jose Earthquakes (.) enter the derby having won their last game 0 - 1 against Vancouver Whitecaps and have scored goals at home this season. San Diego FC (.) have won 1 of their last 2 away games. Factoring in all the data, our AI model sees the high stakes of the occasion leading to a hard-fought draw — probability: 43%.

The Best Betting Tips for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC at a Glance

Three-Way BetSan Diego FC43%47/24·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals70%3/5·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 3.5 Goals48%17/12·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical help for successful sports betting

Three-Way BetSan Jose Earthquakes 35% · X 22% · San Diego FC 43%San Jose EarthquakesXSan Diego FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 70% · No 30%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 70% · Under 30%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 48% · Under 52%OverUnderCorrect Score1-19%1-28%2-18%

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San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC on 04/05/2026: Full Odds Comparison for the MLS Clash at PayPal Park

ProbabilitySan Jose Earthquakes35%Draw22%San Diego FC43%

29/2223/947/24Odd last updated:

5/414/517/10Odd last updated:

5/411/49/5Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

San Jose Earthquakes Form

Last 5 games

WWWWW

On the previous matchday, San Jose Earthquakes went up against Vancouver Whitecaps and came away with all three points at 0 - 1. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.

San Jose Earthquakes's most recent 4 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 7 goals (1.75 per game) while conceding ( per game). In terms of home performances specifically, San Jose Earthquakes have won 2, drawn and lost of their 2 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.

Looking at San Jose Earthquakes's recent run of 4 games, they have netted 7 goals at a rate of 1.75 per game. Defensively, they have let in goals over the same period. At home specifically, San Jose Earthquakes have won 2 and lost of their 2 home games in this stretch.

San Diego FC Form

Last 5 games

DDWWW

San Diego FC most recently faced Real Salt Lake, drawing the match 2 - 2. It was a result that left the squad with mixed feelings heading into this away fixture.

The last 6 months have seen San Diego FC play 5 competitive matches, winning 3 and losing . Of their 2 away games during this stretch, they have won 1 and lost . They have scored 13 goals home and away combined, conceding 5.

Looking at San Diego FC's recent run of 5 games, they have netted 13 goals at a rate of 2.6 per game. Defensively, they have let in 5 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, San Diego FC have won 1 and lost of their 2 away games in this stretch.

Stats per Game

San Jose Earthquakes San Diego FC

Goals scored

1.6

1.9

Corners

5.3

Fouls

12.2

10.5

Saves

2.9

3.1

MLS

MLS Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	Nashville S.C.	5	11	13
2	New York City FC	5	7	10
3	Inter Miami CF	5	1	10

Last Meetings

08/17/2025

San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego FC

1-2

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ San Jose Earthquakes ■ San Diego FC

AI-Powered Tip for the Derby Between San Jose Earthquakes and San Diego FC

Derbies can defy the odds – but informed betting still gives you an edge. Our model analyses the data behind the passion and arrives at San Diego FC pulling off a famous derby win on the road as the most likely outcome – 43% probability, with top odds of 47/24 at Cosmobet. Across all bet markets, our standout tip for this MLS derby remains "Total Goals Over/Under 3.5" – 48% probability and odds of 17/12 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Over 3.5 Goals17/12Place betT&C's apply | +18