Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela – Primeira Liga Preview & Best Betting Odds

At 17:00 on Friday, Estádio D. Afonso Henriques in Guimarães stages another chapter in the Primeira Liga – the association's premier competition. Vitoria Guimarães (9., pts) take on CD Tondela (17.) in matchday 28. The hosts suffered a rare defeat against Benfica Lisbon (3 - 0), while CD Tondela drew 0 - 0 against AVS Futebol SAD and have conceded just goals per game on average this season. In the last 6 months, Vitoria Guimarães have won 5 of their 11 home games at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Our model arrives at a 39% probability for Vitoria Guimarães to come out on top in this top-flight encounter.

Our Expert Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela

Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães39%4/5·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals60%4/5·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X261%1/1·VelobetT&C's apply | +18

Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis

Three-Way BetVitoria Guimarães 39% · X 28% · CD Tondela 33%Vitoria GuimarãesXCD TondelaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 47% · No 53%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 40% · Under 60%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 20% · Under 80%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%1-012%0-111%

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Current odds for Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela

ProbabilityVitoria Guimarães39%Draw28%CD Tondela33%

7/918/726/7Odd last updated:

10/1328/1113/4Odd last updated:

3/45/218/5Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

Vitoria Guimarães FORM

Last 5 games

LLLDL

The most recent game for Vitoria Guimarães saw them take on Benfica Lisbon, with the match ending 3 - 0. The defeat underlines the need for a strong response in front of their own supporters. They head into this Primeira Liga fixture in Guimarães on Friday looking to build on recent performances.

Looking at the past 6 months, Vitoria Guimarães have taken 7 wins from 21 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 5 victories and 4 defeats. On average they have scored 1.05 and conceded 1.57 goals per game.

Over their last 21 matches, Vitoria Guimarães have found the net 22 times – that's 1.05 goals per game on average. They have conceded 33 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 5 wins and 4 defeats from 11 home fixtures. On average, they produce shots on goal per game.

CD Tondela FORM

Last 5 games

DLDWD

The most recent game for CD Tondela saw them take on AVS Futebol SAD, with the match ending 0 - 0. Sharing the spoils means they will be looking to go one better on their travels. They now make the trip to Estádio D. Afonso Henriques for this Primeira Liga clash.

The last 6 months have seen CD Tondela play 20 competitive matches, winning 4 and losing 10. Of their 9 away games during this stretch, they have won 3 and lost 4. They have scored 17 goals home and away combined, conceding 29.

In their last 20 games, CD Tondela have scored a total of 17 goals – an average of 0.85 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 29 goals, giving them an average of 1.45 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 3 wins from 9 games on the road.

Stats per Game

Vitoria Guimarães CD Tondela

Goals scored

1.1

0.7

Corners

4.4

3.7

Fouls

15.6

14.9

Saves

2.7

2.9

Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#	Team	Played	Diff.	Pnts
1	FC Porto	27	43	72
2	Sporting CP	26	53	65
3	Benfica Lisbon	27	41	65
· · · 4 places · · ·
8	Moreirense FC	27	-8	35
9	Vitoria Guimarães Home	27	-13	32
10	Rio Ave FC	27	-18	30
· · · 5 places · · ·
16	Nacional Madeira	27	-10	22
17	CD Tondela Away	26	-20	20
18	AVS Futebol SAD	27	-40	11

Last Meetings

11/08/2025

CD Tondela
Vitoria Guimarães

0-1

09/09/2023

Vitoria Guimarães
CD Tondela

0-1

Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)

■ Vitoria Guimarães ■ CD Tondela

Vitoria Guimarães vs CD Tondela: Our Expert's Best Bet for This Primeira Liga Clash in Guimarães

Our experts have gone through every available data point for this Primeira Liga encounter and arrived at a clear conclusion. The most likely outcome is Vitoria Guimarães to secure a home win – rated at 39%, with the best odds of 4/5 at Zizobet. When it comes to the single bet that best combines probability and value, our recommendation is "Double Chance" at Velobet – 61% probability and odds of 1/1.Best Tip Double Chance X21/1Place betT&C's apply | +18