Ligue 1Matchday 29 · · Stadium Municipal

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 Matchday 29

The Ligue 1 is where reputations are made and lost. On , Toulouse FC (rank 10) take on Lille OSC (rank 3) at Stadium Municipal — kick-off at . Our AI model has gone through every detail of this top-level clash to bring you the most well-founded betting tip and the best odds available.
Toulouse FC LogoToulouse FC10LWLLD
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Lille OSC LogoLille OSC3WWDWW
1X254/25JettBetT&C's apply | +18
1X29/4ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
1X267/50PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability62% 7/10 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

When the Ligue 1 reaches matchday 29, the quality on show is at its peak — and Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC at Stadium Municipal on is no exception. Toulouse FC (10.) have kept 4 wins at home this season, scoring 14 and conceding 9 on their own patch. Lille OSC (3.) were impressive against RC Lens (3 - 0), having won 11 of their last 20 games. Our data-driven model gives a 36% probability to Toulouse FC winning this top-flight home fixture at 36%.

Our Best Betting Tips for Matchday 29 of the Ligue 1

Three-Way BetToulouse FC54/2554/25·RollinoT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals7/107/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals7/107/10·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetToulouse FC 36% · X 29% · Lille OSC 35%Toulouse FCXLille OSCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 45% · No 55%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 38% · Under 62%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 18% · Under 82%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%0-112%1-012%

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC: who will win?

Toulouse FC
X
Lille OSC
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The Best Bookmaker Odds for Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC – Side by Side

 ProbabilityToulouse FC36%Draw29%Lille OSC35%Cosmobet43/2041/1810/7Odd last updated:JettBet65/3323/1010/7Odd last updated:Velobet21/109/47/5Odd last updated:

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC: Head-to-Head Record and Current Form

Toulouse FC Form
Last 5 games
LWLLD
The last outing for Toulouse FC was against Paris Saint Germain – a match they lost 3 - 1. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
The last 6 months have seen Toulouse FC play 20 competitive matches, winning 6 and losing 8. Of their 11 home games during this stretch, they have won 4 and lost 3. They have scored 24 goals at home and away combined, conceding 20.
In their last 20 games, Toulouse FC have scored a total of 24 goals – an average of 1.2 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 20 goals, giving them an average of 1 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 4 wins from 11 games.
Lille OSC Form
Last 5 games
WWDWW
The last outing for Lille OSC was against RC Lens — a match they won 3 - 0. A win that will have boosted confidence ahead of this away trip.
Looking at the past 6 months, Lille OSC have taken 11 wins from 20 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Stadium Municipal. Their away games during this period have produced 5 victories and 4 defeats. On average they have scored 1.45 and conceded 1.15 goals per game.
Looking at Lille OSC's recent run of 20 games, they have netted 29 goals at a rate of 1.45 per game. Defensively, they have let in 23 goals over the same period. Away from home specifically, Lille OSC have won 5 and lost 4 of their 10 away games in this stretch.
Stats per Game
Toulouse FC Lille OSC
Goals scored
1.1
1
Corners
4.7
5.7
Fouls
13.1
9.3
Saves
2.4
1.9
Ligue 1

Ligue 1 Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Paris Saint Germain Logo Paris Saint Germain273863
2RC Lens Logo RC Lens282759
3Lille OSC Logo Lille OSC Away281150
4Olympique Marseille Logo Olympique Marseille281849
· · · 4 places · · ·
9FC Lorient Logo FC Lorient28-438
10Toulouse FC Logo Toulouse FC Home28437
11Stade Brestois Logo Stade Brestois28-636
Last Meetings
09/14/2025
Lille OSC
Toulouse FC
2-1
04/12/2025
Toulouse FC
Lille OSC
1-2
10/05/2024
Lille OSC
Toulouse FC
2-1
02/25/2024
Toulouse FC
Lille OSC
3-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Toulouse FC ■ Lille OSC

Our AI-Driven Best Tip for Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC on

Our statistical model points towards Toulouse FC making the most of home advantage — a 36% probability, with the best odds of 54/25 at Rollino. When combining probability and value, our single best tip for this Ligue 1 match is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — backed by a 62% probability and odds of 7/10 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals7/10Place betT&C's apply | +18