All roads lead to Stade Vélodrome on as Olympique Marseille (4.) host FC Metz (18.) in matchday 29 of the Ligue 1 — the association's top competition serves up a fixture that carries the full weight of top-flight football. Olympique Marseille lost 2 - 1 against AS Monaco last time out and have scored 24 goals at home this season while conceding 15. FC Metz (18.) shared the points against FC Nantes (0 - 0), having won 3 of their last 20 games. Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 56% probability to Olympique Marseille taking the points on home soil in the top flight.
Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the Ligue 1 Fixture
Three-Way BetOlympique Marseille3/113/11·RollinoT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals46/2546/25·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18★ Expert TipExpert TipFC Metz +1.5 Goals31/2531/25·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis
Three-Way BetOlympique Marseille 56% · X 24% · FC Metz 20%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 49% · No 51%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%Correct Score1-013%1-111%2-011%
Who will win the match?
X
Best Olympique Marseille vs FC Metz pre-match odds
ProbabilityOlympique Marseille56%Draw24%FC Metz20%
1/471/13236/23Odd last updated:
6/2353/109/1Odd last updated:
1/45/110/1Odd last updated:
1/471/13236/23Odd last updated:6/2353/109/1Odd last updated:1/45/110/1Odd last updated:Head-to-Head: Recent Form and Key Performance Indicators
Olympique Marseille Form
Last 5 games
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On the previous matchday, Olympique Marseille went up against AS Monaco and suffered a defeat at 2 - 1. The result means there is added pressure to perform in this home fixture.
Olympique Marseille's most recent 21 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 40 goals (1.9 per game) while conceding 32 (1.52 per game). In terms of home performances specifically, Olympique Marseille have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their 11 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Over their last 21 matches, Olympique Marseille have found the net 40 times — that's 1.9 goals per game on average. They have conceded 32 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 6 wins and 2 defeats from 11 home fixtures.
FC Metz Form
Last 5 games
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The last outing for FC Metz was against FC Nantes — a match they drew 0 - 0. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
Looking at the past 6 months, FC Metz have taken 3 wins from 20 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective ahead of this trip to Stade Vélodrome. Their away games during this period have produced 1 victories and 8 defeats. On average they have scored 0.85 and conceded 2 goals per game.
In their last 20 games, FC Metz have scored a total of 17 goals — an average of 0.85 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 40 goals, giving them an average of 2 against per game. Their away record in that period shows 1 wins from 11 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Olympique Marseille FC Metz
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 27 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 |  RC Lens | 28 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 |  Lille OSC | 28 | 11 | 50 |
| 4 | Olympique Marseille Home | 28 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 |  AS Monaco | 28 | 10 | 49 |
| · · · 11 places · · · | ||||
| 17 |  FC Nantes | 27 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | FC Metz Away | 28 | -35 | 15 |
Last Meetings
10/04/2025
FC Metz
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
0-3
02/09/2024
Olympique Marseille
FC Metz
FC Metz
1-1
08/18/2023
FC Metz
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
2-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Olympique Marseille ■ FC Metz
