It is the fixture that gets Pride Park Stadium talking — Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. on in the Championship. Both sets of supporters know what this match means, and both squads will feel the weight of expectation. Derby County F.C. (8.) enter the derby having lost their last game 3 - 2 against Coventry City F.C. and have scored goals at home this season. Stoke City F.C. (12.) have won 4 of their last 15 away games. Factoring in all the data, our AI model sees Derby County F.C. having what it takes to leave Pride Park Stadium with the derby win — probability: 44%.
Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds
Three-Way BetDerby County F.C.44%10/11·VelobetT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%10/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%10/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical help for successful sports betting
Three-Way BetDerby County F.C. 44% · X 27% · Stoke City F.C. 29%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 50% · No 50%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%Correct Score1-113%1-011%2-19%
Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.?
X
Best Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. pre-match odds
ProbabilityDerby County F.C.44%Draw27%Stoke City F.C.29%
10/1113/529/10Odd last updated:
4/512/531/10Odd last updated:
9/105/257/20Odd last updated:
10/1113/529/10Odd last updated:4/512/531/10Odd last updated:9/105/257/20Odd last updated:Head-to-Head: Recent Form and Key Performance Indicators
Derby County F.C. Form
Last 5 games
LWWLW
The last outing for Derby County F.C. was against Coventry City F.C. – a match they lost 3 - 2. A defeat they will be eager to put right.
The last 6 months have seen Derby County F.C. play 31 competitive matches, winning 16 and losing 11. Of their 15 home games during this stretch, they have won 8 and lost 4. They have scored 47 goals at home and away combined, conceding 36.
In their last 31 games, Derby County F.C. have scored a total of 47 goals – an average of 1.52 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 36 goals, giving them an average of 1.16 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 8 wins from 15 games.
Stoke City F.C. Form
Last 5 games
WLWDL
Stoke City F.C.'s last competitive outing ended 2 - 0 against Sheffield Wednesday F.C. — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Pride Park Stadium for this Championship fixture on .
Stoke City F.C.'s form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 11 wins, 6 draws and 14 defeats from 31 games. Away from home, they have won 4 of 15 games, scoring 11 goals and conceding 19 on the road.
A closer look at Stoke City F.C.'s last 31 games reveals a side that has scored 37 goals and conceded 37. Their away performances stand out: 4 wins from 15 away fixtures, with 9 defeats — averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
Derby County F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Championship
Championship Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City F.C. | 40 | 42 | 83 |
| 2 |  Millwall F.C. | 40 | 10 | 72 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough F.C. | 40 | 21 | 71 |
| · · · 3 places · · · | ||||
| 7 |  Southampton FC | 39 | 15 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby County F.C. Home | 40 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 |  Watford F.C. | 40 | 3 | 56 |
| · · · 1 place · · · | ||||
| 11 |  Norwich City F.C. | 40 | 6 | 55 |
| 12 | Stoke City F.C. Away | 40 | 5 | 54 |
| 13 |  Bristol City | 40 | 0 | 54 |
Last Meetings
08/09/2025
Stoke City F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
3-1
05/03/2025
Derby County F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
Stoke City F.C.
0-0
11/02/2024
Stoke City F.C.
Derby County F.C.
Derby County F.C.
2-1
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Derby County F.C.
■ Stoke City F.C.
