Premier LeagueMatchday 12 · · Tolka Park

The Best Betting Tips for Shelbourne F.C. vs Derry City FC at a Glance

It's Premier League football at its finest. Shelbourne F.C. and Derry City FC collide on at Tolka Park in a matchday 12 encounter that has quality written all over it. With Shelbourne F.C. last going 3 - 2 against Shamrock Rovers FC and Derry City FC recording 2 - 2 against Dundalk FC, our statistical preview finds the sharpest betting value.
Shelbourne F.C. LogoShelbourne F.C.6LLWDW
·
Derry City FC LogoDerry City FC7DDLDD
1X223/17RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X229/14CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X252/23CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipOver 2.5 GoalsProbability51% 13/11 Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

The Premier League table reads 6. against 7. — and on at Tolka Park, that gap is set to be contested directly. Kick-off is at . Shelbourne F.C. lost 3 - 2 against Shamrock Rovers FC in need of a side on the rise. Derry City FC (7.) drew 2 - 2 against Dundalk FC and have scored goals and conceded across the season. Our data-driven forecast puts the probability of Shelbourne F.C. winning and moving clear of their table neighbours at 45%.

Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Shelbourne F.C. vs Derry City FC

Three-Way BetShelbourne F.C.45%11/8·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals51%13/11·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipOver 2.5 Goals51%13/11·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18

Important analyses and previews ahead of kick-off

Three-Way BetShelbourne F.C. 45% · X 25% · Derry City FC 30%Shelbourne F.C.XDerry City FCBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 54% · No 46%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 51% · Under 49%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 29% · Under 71%OverUnderCorrect Score1-112%1-010%2-19%

Shelbourne F.C. vs Derry City FC: who will win?

Shelbourne F.C.
X
Derry City FC
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Shelbourne F.C. vs Derry City FC: Where to Find the Best Odds for Matchday 12

 ProbabilityShelbourne F.C.45%Draw25%Derry City FC30%Cosmobet11/829/1452/23Odd last updated:Rollino23/172/111/5Odd last updated:

Shelbourne F.C. and Derry City FC: Form Guide and Statistical Comparison

Shelbourne F.C. Form
Last 5 games
LLWDW
Shelbourne F.C.'s last competitive outing ended 3 - 2 against Shamrock Rovers FC — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. Their next challenge comes at Tolka Park on .
Looking at the past 6 months, Shelbourne F.C. have taken 5 wins from 13 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 1 victories and 2 defeats. On average they have scored 1.62 and conceded 1.38 goals per game.
Over their last 13 matches, Shelbourne F.C. have found the net 21 times — that's 1.62 goals per game on average. They have conceded 18 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 1 wins and 2 defeats from 7 home fixtures.
Derry City FC Form
Last 5 games
DDLDD
Derry City FC most recently faced Dundalk FC, drawing the match 2 - 2. It was a result that left the squad with mixed feelings heading into this away fixture.
Derry City FC's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 14 games. Away from home, they have won 2 of 7 games, scoring 6 goals and conceding 6 on the road.
Derry City FC's most recent 14 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 19 goals (1.36 per game) while conceding 17 (1.21 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Derry City FC have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their 7 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to Tolka Park.
Stats per Game
Shelbourne F.C. Derry City FC
Goals scored
1.5
1.2
Corners
5.2
6.1
Fouls
11.1
13.6
Saves
2.9
3.1
Premier League

Premier League | IRE Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1St Patrick's Athletic FC Logo St Patrick's Athletic FC101020
2Bohemian FC Logo Bohemian FC10820
3Shamrock Rovers FC Logo Shamrock Rovers FC10719
· · · 1 place · · ·
5Galway United F.C. Logo Galway United F.C.10-114
6Shelbourne F.C. Logo Shelbourne F.C. Home10013
7Derry City FC Logo Derry City FC Away11-111
8Drogheda United F.C. Logo Drogheda United F.C.10-310
Last Meetings
03/13/2026
Derry City FC
Shelbourne F.C.
1-2
09/19/2025
Derry City FC
Shelbourne F.C.
1-1
06/20/2025
Shelbourne F.C.
Derry City FC
0-1
05/02/2025
Derry City FC
Shelbourne F.C.
2-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Shelbourne F.C. ■ Derry City FC

Shelbourne F.C. vs Derry City FC: Our Statistical Model's Best Bet for This Premier League Clash at Tolka Park

Table neighbours Shelbourne F.C. and Derry City FC are as level as the Premier League standings suggest — and our AI model has done the hard work to find the best bet in a game where margins are razor thin. The probability of Shelbourne F.C. winning at Tolka Park and moving clear stands at 45%, with best odds of 11/8 at Cosmobet. In such a tight fixture, the Double Chance 12 at 75% deserves serious consideration. Our best value bet is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" — 51% probability, odds 13/11 at Cosmobet.Best Tip Over 2.5 Goals13/11Place betT&C's apply | +18