Top-flight football in the A-League doesn't get much more compelling than this. Melbourne Victory (3.) welcome Wellington Phoenix (8.) to AAMI Park in on at in matchday 23 of the season. Melbourne Victory have scored goals this season at an average of per game and won their last fixture 4 - 1 against Central Coast Mariners. Wellington Phoenix ( pts) delivered a polished performance against Brisbane Roar (1 - 2), arriving in . Factoring in all available data, our model puts the probability of Melbourne Victory making the most of home advantage in the top flight at 49%.
The Best Betting Tips for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix at a Glance
Three-Way Bet49%Melbourne Victory1/2Visit JettBetT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.568%Over 2.5 Goals7/13Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18Expert Tip67%Both Teams To Score5/8Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
Statistical prediction with probability factor
Three-Way Bet49%Melbourne Victory22%X29%Wellington PhoenixBoth Teams To Score Yes/No67%Yes 33%NoCorrect Score9%1-19%2-18%1-0
Total Goals Over/Under 2.568%Over 32%UnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.546%Over 54%Under
Who will win the match?

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Current odds for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
ProbabilityMelbourne Victory49%Draw22%Wellington Phoenix29%
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6/1339/1199/20Odd last updated:Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?
Melbourne Victory FormThe last outing for Melbourne Victory was against Central Coast Mariners – a match they won 4 - 1. A win that will have boosted confidence in the camp.Looking at the past 6 months, Melbourne Victory have taken 9 wins from 21 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 5 victories and 2 defeats. On average they have scored 1.62 and conceded 1.29 goals per game.A closer look at Melbourne Victory's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 34 goals and conceded 27. Their home performances stand out: 5 wins from 10 home fixtures, with 2 defeats. They average 19.2 total shots and 7.2 corners per game.
Wellington Phoenix FormThe most recent game for Wellington Phoenix saw them take on Brisbane Roar, with the match ending 1 - 2. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to . They now make the trip to AAMI Park for this A-League clash.In the last 6 months, Wellington Phoenix have played 22 games, winning 7 of them. Their away record in that period reads 3 wins and 3 defeats from 10 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 33 goals while conceding 41 – a defensive average of 1.86 per game.Over their last 22 matches, Wellington Phoenix have found the net 33 times – that's 1.5 goals per game on average. They have conceded 41 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 3 wins and 3 defeats from 10 away fixtures. On average, they produce shots on goal per game.
Last MeetingsWellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory02/06/20262-3Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix12/29/20255-1Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory04/12/20252-3Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix02/14/20251-0










