A-LeagueMatchday 24 · · AAMI Park

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix: The Most Valuable Bets and Best Available Odds

It's A-League football at its finest. Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix collide on at AAMI Park in a matchday 24 encounter that has quality written all over it. With Melbourne City last going 2 - 1 against Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix recording 0 - 1 against Melbourne Victory, our statistical preview finds the sharpest betting value.
Melbourne City LogoMelbourne City8WWDWL
·
Wellington Phoenix LogoWellington Phoenix7WWWDL
1X27/11RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X261/20CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X293/25CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipDouble Chance X2Probability63% 13/10 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

It's 8. versus 7. in the A-League as Melbourne City welcome Wellington Phoenix to AAMI Park on at . The two sides are separated by just one place in the standings — Melbourne City won 2 - 1 against Central Coast Mariners last outing and have scored goals this season at an average of per game. Wellington Phoenix won 0 - 1 against Melbourne Victory and have scored goals this season. Our AI model gives a 37% probability to Wellington Phoenix moving above their hosts in the standings.

Our AI Picks: The Best Betting Markets for Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix

Three-Way BetWellington Phoenix37%22/5·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals52%6/5·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X263%13/10·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Statistical prediction with probability factor

Three-Way BetMelbourne City 37% · X 26% · Wellington Phoenix 37%Melbourne CityXWellington PhoenixBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 53% · No 47%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 48% · Under 52%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 26% · Under 74%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%0-110%1-010%

Who will win the match?

Melbourne City
X
Wellington Phoenix
Submit your tip and see how others have voted.

Top odds for the A-League match Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix

 ProbabilityMelbourne City37%Draw26%Wellington Phoenix37%Cosmobet17/2561/2093/25Odd last updated:JettBet7/1113/450/13Odd last updated:Velobet3/516/54/1Odd last updated:

Performance Analysis: How Do Both Teams Compare?

Melbourne City Form
Last 5 games
WWDWL
Melbourne City most recently faced Central Coast Mariners, winning the match 2 - 1. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood ahead of this next challenge.
Looking at the past 6 months, Melbourne City have taken 8 wins from 23 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 5 victories and 4 defeats. On average they have scored 1.17 and conceded 1.26 goals per game.
A closer look at Melbourne City's last 23 games reveals a side that has scored 27 goals and conceded 29. Their home performances stand out: 5 wins from 11 home fixtures, with 4 defeats — averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix Form
Last 5 games
WWWDL
The most recent game for Wellington Phoenix saw them take on Melbourne Victory, with the match ending 0 - 1. The win is a timely confidence boost as they head to AAMI Park. They now make the trip to AAMI Park for this A-League clash.
In the last 6 months, Wellington Phoenix have played 23 games, winning 8 of them. Their away record in that period reads 4 wins and 3 defeats from 11 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 34 goals while conceding 41 – a defensive average of 1.78 per game.
Over their last 23 matches, Wellington Phoenix have found the net 34 times — that's 1.48 goals per game on average. They have conceded 41 goals in the same span, with their away form showing 4 wins and 3 defeats from 11 away fixtures.
Stats per Game
Melbourne City Wellington Phoenix
Goals scored
1.5
1.3
Corners
5.3
5.4
Fouls
10.3
9.6
Saves
2.9
2.7
A-League

A-League Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Newcastle United Jets Logo Newcastle United Jets231243
2Auckland FC Logo Auckland FC231440
3Adelaide United Logo Adelaide United23736
· · · 2 places · · ·
6Macarthur F.C. Logo Macarthur F.C.23-731
7Wellington Phoenix Logo Wellington Phoenix Away23-730
8Melbourne City Logo Melbourne City Home22-329
9Central Coast Mariners Logo Central Coast Mariners22-328
Last Meetings
01/30/2026
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2-2
02/28/2025
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0-1
01/03/2025
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2-0
03/09/2024
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Melbourne City ■ Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix: AI-Powered Betting Tip for the A-League Fixture

When direct table neighbours meet in the A-League, the margins are always tight — and the betting markets reflect that. Our model gives Wellington Phoenix the edge to claim an important away win a probability of 37%, with best odds of 22/5 at Palmslots. Given the closeness of this fixture, the Double Chance 12 at 74% is a sensible safety net. Our best overall tip, combining value and probability, is "Double Chance" — a 63% probability and odds of 13/10 at Zizobet.Best Tip Double Chance X213/10Place betT&C's apply | +18