Primeira LigaMatchday 29 · · FC Alverca Sports Complex

F.C. Alverca - Casa Pia Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds

The derby is here. F.C. Alverca (position 10) host Casa Pia (position 16) on at FC Alverca Sports Complex – matchday 29 of the Primeira Liga. Local pride is on the line. Our full statistical preview and best betting tips are right here.
F.C. Alverca LogoF.C. Alverca10WLDDD
·
Casa Pia LogoCasa Pia16DLDDL
1X223/24RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X251/22RollinoT&C's apply | +18
1X271/25RollinoT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipDouble Chance X2Probability61% 10/11 Visit ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Playing in the Primeira Liga means competing at the highest level the association has to offer — and matchday 29 brings a fixture that lives up to that standard. F.C. Alverca (10.) host Casa Pia (16.) at FC Alverca Sports Complex on at . F.C. Alverca won their last game 1 - 2 against Rio Ave FC and have conceded goals this season. The visitors (Casa Pia., 16.) had to settle for a point against Benfica Lisbon (1 - 1). Our statistical evaluation gives a 39% probability to F.C. Alverca taking the win on the top-flight stage.

Betting Tips and Odds for F.C. Alverca vs Casa Pia – All in One Place

Three-Way BetF.C. Alverca39%1/1·VelobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals60%7/10·RollinoT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipDouble Chance X261%10/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18

Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis

Three-Way BetF.C. Alverca 39% · X 28% · Casa Pia 33%F.C. AlvercaXCasa PiaBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 47% · No 53%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 40% · Under 60%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 20% · Under 80%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%1-012%0-111%

F.C. Alverca, Casa Pia or draw? Vote now!

F.C. Alverca
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Casa Pia
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F.C. Alverca vs Casa Pia on : Full Odds Comparison for the Primeira Liga Clash at FC Alverca Sports Complex

 ProbabilityF.C. Alverca39%Draw28%Casa Pia33%Velobet1/123/1014/5Odd last updated:Zizobet10/1123/1031/10Odd last updated:Palmslots1/123/1027/10Odd last updated:

The latest results and performance in detail

F.C. Alverca Form
Last 5 games
WLDDD
On the previous matchday, F.C. Alverca went up against Rio Ave FC and came away with all three points at 1 - 2. The result means they carry real momentum into this upcoming match.
The last 6 months have seen F.C. Alverca play 20 competitive matches, winning 5 and losing 8. Of their 10 home games during this stretch, they have won 3 and lost 3. They have scored 18 goals at home and away combined, conceding 34.
F.C. Alverca's most recent 20 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 18 goals (0.9 per game) while conceding 34 (1.7 per game). In terms of home performances, F.C. Alverca have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their 10 home matches – a record that provides useful context ahead of this fixture.
Casa Pia Form
Last 5 games
DLDDL
On the previous matchday, Casa Pia went up against Benfica Lisbon and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head to FC Alverca Sports Complex looking to find a winner away from home.
In the last 6 months, Casa Pia have played 19 games, winning 3 of them. Their away record in that period reads 1 wins and 6 defeats from 10 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 19 goals while conceding 36 – a defensive average of 1.89 per game.
A closer look at Casa Pia's last 19 games reveals a side that has scored 19 goals and conceded 36. Their away performances stand out: 1 wins from 10 away fixtures, with 6 defeats — averaging 1 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game.
Stats per Game
F.C. Alverca Casa Pia
Goals scored
1
1
Corners
4.8
2.8
Fouls
10.9
15.6
Saves
3.4
3.3
Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1FC Porto Logo FC Porto284373
2Sporting CP Logo Sporting CP275568
3Benfica Lisbon Logo Benfica Lisbon274165
· · · 5 places · · ·
9Moreirense FC Logo Moreirense FC28-935
10F.C. Alverca Logo F.C. Alverca Home28-1732
11F.C. Arouca Logo F.C. Arouca28-2032
· · · 3 places · · ·
15Nacional Madeira Logo Nacional Madeira28-825
16Casa Pia Logo Casa Pia Away26-2224
17CD Tondela Logo CD Tondela27-2520
Last Meetings
11/29/2025
Casa Pia
F.C. Alverca
0-2
08/02/2025
F.C. Alverca
Casa Pia
2-3
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ F.C. Alverca ■ Casa Pia

AI-Powered Tip for the Derby Between F.C. Alverca and Casa Pia

In a Primeira Liga derby, informed betting matters more than ever. Our probability model cuts through the noise and identifies F.C. Alverca winning this local showdown at FC Alverca Sports Complex as the most probable outcome — 39% probability, odds 1/1 at Velobet. Across all markets, our AI tip is "Double Chance" — 61% probability, odds 10/11 at Zizobet.Best Tip Double Chance X210/11Place betT&C's apply | +18