A-LeagueMatchday 24 · · polytec Stadium

Our Statistical Model's Best Bet: Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar — A-League Matchday 24

The stakes couldn't be higher for either side. Central Coast Mariners (9.) in the A-League take on Brisbane Roar (10.) on — kick-off at . Coming off a 2 - 1 against Melbourne City, the hosts desperately need a positive result. Here's our AI-powered preview and best betting tip.
Central Coast Mariners LogoCentral Coast Mariners9LDLDW
·
Brisbane Roar LogoBrisbane Roar10DLDDL
1X265/33CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
1X25/2PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
1X217/13CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Expert TipUnder 2.5 GoalsProbability54% 11/10 Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

The A-League is where reputations are built and defended — and on , matchday 24 at polytec Stadium will add another chapter to that story. Central Coast Mariners (9.) lost their last game 2 - 1 against Melbourne City — a result that left them with a score to settle at polytec Stadium. Brisbane Roar (10.) have scored goals this season and drew 0 - 0 against Sydney FC last time out. In the last 6 months, they have won 6 of their 23 fixtures. Our model weighs every factor and arrives at a 44% probability for Central Coast Mariners to come out on top and cement their standing in the A-League.

Top Betting Tips and Best Odds for the A-League Fixture

Three-Way BetCentral Coast Mariners44%65/33·CosmobetT&C's apply | +18 Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals54%11/10·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18 ★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 2.5 Goals54%11/10·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18

Valuable betting tip based on statistics and facts

Three-Way BetCentral Coast Mariners 44% · X 27% · Brisbane Roar 29%Central Coast MarinersXBrisbane RoarBoth Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 50% · No 50%YesNoTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 46% · Under 54%OverUnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 24% · Under 76%OverUnderCorrect Score1-113%1-011%2-19%

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar: who will win?

Central Coast Mariners
X
Brisbane Roar
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Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar on : Full Odds Comparison for the A-League Clash at polytec Stadium

 ProbabilityCentral Coast Mariners44%Draw27%Brisbane Roar29%Cosmobet65/3318/717/13Odd last updated:JettBet11/614/513/10Odd last updated:Velobet15/85/213/10Odd last updated:

Form Analysis and Performance Comparison

Central Coast Mariners Form
Last 5 games
LDLDW
Central Coast Mariners's last competitive outing ended 2 - 1 against Melbourne City — a defeat that will have been a tough pill to swallow. Their next challenge comes at polytec Stadium on .
Central Coast Mariners's form over the past 6 months paints a clear picture: 7 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats from 22 games. At home, they have won 3 of 11 games, scoring 14 goals and conceding 14 on their own turf.
In their last 22 games, Central Coast Mariners have scored a total of 31 goals – an average of 1.41 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 35 goals, giving them an average of 1.59 against per game. Their home record in that period shows 3 wins from 11 games.
Brisbane Roar Form
Last 5 games
DLDDL
The last outing for Brisbane Roar was against Sydney FC — a match they drew 0 - 0. A draw was perhaps a fair reflection of the game, and they will be looking to go one better on the road.
In the last 6 months, Brisbane Roar have played 23 games, winning 6 of them. Their away record in that period reads 3 wins and 5 defeats from 11 matches on the road. Offensively, they have netted 22 goals while conceding 29 – a defensive average of 1.26 per game.
Brisbane Roar's most recent 23 games tell an interesting story. They have scored 22 goals (0.96 per game) while conceding 29 (1.26 per game). In terms of away performances specifically, Brisbane Roar have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their 11 away matches — a record that provides useful context ahead of this trip to polytec Stadium.
Stats per Game
Central Coast Mariners Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
1.6
1.1
Corners
3.4
3.9
Fouls
8.6
11.6
Saves
5.3
2
A-League

A-League Table

#TeamPlayedDiff.Pnts
1Newcastle United Jets Logo Newcastle United Jets231243
2Auckland FC Logo Auckland FC231440
3Adelaide United Logo Adelaide United23736
· · · 4 places · · ·
8Melbourne City Logo Melbourne City22-329
9Central Coast Mariners Logo Central Coast Mariners Home22-328
10Brisbane Roar Logo Brisbane Roar Away23-725
11Perth Glory Logo Perth Glory23-1024
Last Meetings
02/07/2026
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
1-2
12/31/2025
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
1-2
08/24/2025
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
2-0
05/02/2025
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Central Coast Mariners ■ Brisbane Roar

What Does Our Statistical Model Back? The Best Tip for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar

With both sides deep in a fight for survival in the A-League, the stakes couldn't be higher. The most likely outcome, based on current form and seasonal data, is Central Coast Mariners to pull off a crucial away win and lift themselves clear of danger – 44% probability with top odds of 65/33 at Cosmobet. Our best bet across all markets for this survival showdown is "Total Goals Over/Under 2.5" – 54% probability and odds of 11/10 at Palmslots.Best Tip Under 2.5 Goals11/10Place betT&C's apply | +18