When the Primeira Liga reaches matchday 28, the quality on show is at its peak – and Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon at Estádio Pina Manique in Lisbon on is no exception. Casa Pia (15.) lost their last fixture 4 - 0 against C.F. Estrela da Amadora and have kept wins at home this season, scoring goals and conceding on their own patch. Benfica Lisbon (3., pts) were impressive against Vitoria Guimarães (3 - 0), arriving in Lisbon . Stripping back the emotion and focusing on the data, our model gives a 58% probability to Benfica Lisbon claiming a prestigious away win in the Primeira Liga.
Primeira Liga Matchday 28: Top Betting Tips and Current Odds Overview
Three-Way Bet58%Benfica Lisbon5/21Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18Total Goals Over/Under 2.555%Over 2.5 Goals1/2Visit PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18Expert Tip67%Casa Pia +1.5 Goals29/25Visit CosmobetT&C's apply | +18
Latest expert prediction with statistical analysis
Three-Way Bet20%Casa Pia22%X58%Benfica LisbonBoth Teams To Score Yes/No54%Yes 46%NoCorrect Score10%0-210%1-110%1-2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.555%Over 45%UnderTotal Goals Over/Under 3.533%Over 67%Under
Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon: who will win?
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Best Casa Pia vs Benfica Lisbon pre-match odds
ProbabilityCasa Pia20%Draw22%Benfica Lisbon58%
202/2149/93/13Odd last updated:
10/15/11/5Odd last updated:
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202/2149/93/13Odd last updated:
10/15/11/5Odd last updated:
21/219/45/21Odd last updated:41/451/102/9Odd last updated:How Do the Two Sides Stack Up? A Detailed Performance Breakdown
Casa Pia FormCasa Pia most recently faced C.F. Estrela da Amadora, losing the match 4 - 0. It was a result that left the squad determined to bounce back on home soil.Looking at the past 6 months, Casa Pia have taken 3 wins from 20 games – a record that puts their current form into perspective. Their home games during this period have produced 2 victories and 2 defeats. On average they have scored 1.05 and conceded 1.95 goals per game.Looking at Casa Pia's recent run of 20 games, they have netted 21 goals at a rate of 1.05 per game. Defensively, they have let in 39 goals over the same period. At home specifically, Casa Pia have won 2 and lost 2 of their 9 home games in this stretch.
Benfica Lisbon FormBenfica Lisbon most recently faced Vitoria Guimarães, winning the match 3 - 0. It was a result that left the squad in confident mood as they travel to Estádio Pina Manique.Over the past 6 months, Benfica Lisbon have won 15, drawn 6 and lost of their 21 games. Away from home they have picked up 7 wins from 10 fixtures, losing . They have scored 47 goals in total during this period – an average of 2.24 per game.A closer look at Benfica Lisbon's last 21 games reveals a side that has scored 47 goals and conceded 14. Their away performances stand out: 7 wins from 10 away fixtures, with defeats. They average 18.7 total shots and 8.6 corners per game.
Last MeetingsBenfica LisbonCasa Pia11/09/20252-2Casa PiaBenfica Lisbon01/25/20253-1Benfica LisbonCasa Pia08/17/20243-0Casa PiaBenfica Lisbon03/17/20240-1
