All roads lead to Estádio da Luz on as Benfica Lisbon (3.) host Nacional Madeira (15.) in matchday 29 of the Primeira Liga — the association's top competition serves up a fixture that carries the full weight of top-flight football. Benfica Lisbon drew 1 - 1 against Casa Pia last time out and have scored 26 goals at home this season while conceding 7. Nacional Madeira (15.) claimed another important three points against C.F. Estrela da Amadora (2 - 0), having won 3 of their last 19 games. Weighing up all available data, our AI model gives a 58% probability to Benfica Lisbon taking the points on home soil in the top flight.
The Most Popular Betting Tips for Benfica Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira with Current Odds
Three-Way BetBenfica Lisbon58%1/7·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 Goals55%4/11·ZizobetT&C's apply | +18
★ Expert TipExpert TipUnder 3.5 Goals67%19/20·PalmslotsT&C's apply | +18
Up to date betting tip thanks to statistics and data analysis
Three-Way BetBenfica Lisbon 58% · X 22% · Nacional Madeira 20%Both Teams To Score Yes/NoYes 54% · No 46%Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Over 55% · Under 45%Total Goals Over/Under 3.5Over 33% · Under 67%Correct Score1-110%2-010%2-110%
Who will win Benfica Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira?
X
Full Odds Comparison for the Primeira Liga Clash at Estádio da Luz
ProbabilityBenfica Lisbon58%Draw22%Nacional Madeira20%
1/815/217/1Odd last updated:
1/813/216/1Odd last updated:
1/713/217/1Odd last updated:
1/815/217/1Odd last updated:1/813/216/1Odd last updated:1/713/217/1Odd last updated:Performance Overview: Form, Goals and Recent Results Compared
Benfica Lisbon Form
Last 5 games
DWWDW
On the previous matchday, Benfica Lisbon went up against Casa Pia and came away with a point at 1 - 1. The result means they head into this fixture looking to find a winner.
The last 6 months have seen Benfica Lisbon play 20 competitive matches, winning 14 and losing . Of their 10 home games during this stretch, they have won 7 and lost . They have scored 46 goals at home and away combined, conceding 14.
Over their last 20 matches, Benfica Lisbon have found the net 46 times — that's 2.3 goals per game on average. They have conceded 14 goals in the same span, with their home form showing 7 wins and defeats from 10 home fixtures.
Nacional Madeira Form
Last 5 games
WLDLL
Nacional Madeira's last competitive outing ended 2 - 0 against C.F. Estrela da Amadora — a win that sends them into this away fixture in fine fettle. They travel to Estádio da Luz for this Primeira Liga fixture on .
Over the past 6 months, Nacional Madeira have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 10 of their 19 games. Away from home they have picked up wins from 10 fixtures, losing 6. They have scored 22 goals in total during this period – an average of 1.16 per game.
In their last 19 games, Nacional Madeira have scored a total of 22 goals — an average of 1.16 per match. At the other end, they have conceded 26 goals, giving them an average of 1.37 against per game. Their away record in that period shows wins from 10 games on the road.
Stats per Game
Benfica Lisbon
Nacional Madeira
Goals scored
Corners
Fouls
Saves
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | Played | Diff. | Pnts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 28 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 27 | 55 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica Lisbon Home | 27 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga | 27 | 27 | 49 |
| · · · 9 places · · · | ||||
| 14 |  C.F. Estrela da Amadora | 28 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional Madeira Away | 28 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 26 | -22 | 24 |
Last Meetings
11/29/2025
Nacional Madeira
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
1-2
03/08/2025
Benfica Lisbon
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
3-0
12/19/2024
Nacional Madeira
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
0-2
Form Trend – Points per Game (Last 5 Matches)
■ Benfica Lisbon
■ Nacional Madeira
