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Matchweek 29 delivered on almost every front. A title race that had looked like it might drift toward Arsenal received a sharp injection of uncertainty. Liverpool’s campaign suffered another damaging setback. Tottenham’s relegation crisis deepened in the most dramatic fashion. And Chelsea confirmed that Liam Rosenior’s appointment has transformed their season.
Here is a full breakdown of every result, the key analytical takeaways, and what they mean for your matchweek 30 betting.
Matchweek 29 Results in Full
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Mar | Bournemouth | 0–0 | Brentford |
| Tue 3 Mar | Everton | 2–0 | Burnley |
| Tue 3 Mar | Leeds United | 0–1 | Sunderland |
| Tue 3 Mar | Wolves | 2–1 | Liverpool |
| Wed 4 Mar | Aston Villa | 1–4 | Chelsea |
| Wed 4 Mar | Brighton | 0–1 | Arsenal |
| Wed 4 Mar | Fulham | 0–1 | West Ham |
| Wed 4 Mar | Man City | 2–2 | Nottingham Forest |
| Wed 4 Mar | Newcastle | 2–1 | Man United |
| Thu 5 Mar | Tottenham | 1–3 | Crystal Palace |
The Big Stories
Arsenal Extend Their Lead — But City Drop Points Too
Arsenal’s 1–0 win at Brighton was professional rather than spectacular. Mikel Arteta’s side ground out a clean sheet away from home against a Brighton side that created enough to make it uncomfortable, and took the three points. It extended their Premier League lead to seven points over Manchester City.
The more significant event for the title race was City’s 2–2 draw at home to Nottingham Forest. City led and then conceded late — a pattern that has become a recurring theme in their most frustrating results this season. The draw hands Arsenal a significant buffer, but City remain in the race with nine games left and fixtures to exploit.
Betting angle: Arsenal are heavy favourites for the title and have been all season, but at seven points clear with nine games remaining, the true question is whether their price adequately reflects the remaining risk. Their upcoming fixtures include a home game against Everton, a trip to Anfield to face Liverpool, and a London derby with Tottenham. Man City face Liverpool away and West Ham at home in their near-term schedule. The margin is Arsenal’s to lose.
Chelsea’s Transformation Under Rosenior — Villa Humiliated 4–1
The most eye-catching scoreline of the week. Noni Madueke’s Pedro delivered a hat-trick as Chelsea dismantled Aston Villa 4–1 at Villa Park. Under Enzo Maresca, Chelsea were fifth, inconsistent, and losing the dressing room. Under Liam Rosenior — appointed on 6 January — they have been the form side in the division.
The Villa result was not a fluke. Chelsea have now won four of their last five Premier League matches and look genuinely capable of finishing in the top four. Villa, by contrast, are enduring a difficult run and must now navigate the end of the season without the momentum that had characterised much of their campaign.
Betting angle: Chelsea’s Champions League round of 16 is sandwiched between now and their next league fixture — PSG at Parc des Princes on Wednesday. How heavily Rosenior rotates for that match will shape how his squad arrives for matchweek 30. For the title race, Chelsea as surprise top-four finishers is now firmly on the table. Check their next fixture odds against current form before dismissing them.
Liverpool Lose at Wolves — Title Hopes Take Another Hit
A 2–1 defeat at Molineux was Liverpool’s second defeat in a week and another damaging result in their pursuit of a top-two finish. Wolves — battling relegation and in desperate need of points — produced exactly the kind of gritty, organised performance that has made them dangerous opponents for complacent visitors.
Liverpool created chances but could not convert the ones that mattered, and were punished on the counter. Arne Slot’s side now have a mounting problem with consistency away from Anfield. Their league form since January has been erratic, and the timing — with Champions League fixtures creating schedule congestion — makes recovery more difficult.
Betting angle: Liverpool at Anfield in matchweek 30 against Tottenham looks superficially straightforward at short odds. But Liverpool’s away form across recent weeks and their upcoming schedule (Champions League at Galatasaray, two legs against either PSG or Chelsea in the quarter-final path) creates genuine squad management questions. Monitor team news carefully before backing Liverpool at short prices in their next league fixture.
Tottenham’s Relegation Crisis Deepens — Van de Ven Red, Palace Win 3–1
The defining image of matchweek 29. Tottenham led 1–0 through a Dominic Solanke finish in the 34th minute. Four minutes later, Micky van de Ven dragged down Ismaila Sarr from behind — professional foul, last man — and was sent off. Sarr converted the penalty, Jorgen Strand Larsen scored in first-half stoppage time, and Sarr added a third in the seventh minute of added time.
Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace. On a night when Spurs desperately needed points.
Igor Tudor’s side now sit one point above the relegation zone with nine games remaining. Van de Ven faces a likely suspension for the Champions League first leg against Atlético de Madrid next Tuesday — a match that was already challenging without losing their most accomplished defender. The injury list is severe: Kulusevski, Rodrigo Bentancur, Kudus, Udogie, Bergvall, Davies, Odobert, Maddison — all absent for considerable time.
Betting angle: Liverpool vs Tottenham in matchweek 30 is a fixture that now carries enormous consequence for the relegation picture. Spurs have not won a single Premier League match in 2026. At Anfield, without van de Ven and against a Liverpool side with home advantage, the outlook is bleak. The over 2.5 goals market and the Liverpool win/draw double chance both warrant attention in this fixture. Lay Tottenham to win on the exchange is a market worth monitoring.
Newcastle Beat Man United — Carrick’s Revival Faces Limits
Newcastle’s 2–1 win over Manchester United at St James’ Park was a reminder of how competitive Eddie Howe’s side remain when the top half of the table is at stake. Newcastle sit comfortably in the top six and continue to pursue their Champions League qualification ambitions with the quality of a team that belongs there.
Manchester United’s response was competitive — Casemiro equalised briefly — but the result felt inevitable. Michael Carrick has improved United’s results significantly since arriving in January, but away from Old Trafford they remain vulnerable.
Other Results: West Ham Grind Out a Win, Leeds Slip Up
West Ham’s 1–0 win at Fulham was another low-key but important result for their season. Fulham’s lack of cutting edge in home games is a pattern worth noting — they have the possession but struggle to convert it into goals against organised opponents.
Leeds United’s 0–1 defeat to Sunderland at Elland Road is a damaging result in the context of the relegation conversation. Leeds are well clear of the bottom three on points but cannot afford the kind of home defeat that gives false comfort to the sides below them. Sunderland’s victory — their fourth in seven matches — suggests they have stabilised from a difficult mid-season period.
Matchweek 29: Betting Takeaways
Home advantage didn’t dominate. Away wins and draws — Chelsea at Villa, Palace at Spurs, West Ham at Fulham, Sunderland at Leeds, Wolves over Liverpool — were the story of the week. The league-wide pattern of away wins accounting for approximately 32% of results is proving accurate this season.
Low-scoring tight matches weren’t limited to the relegation zone. Brighton 0–1 Arsenal and Fulham 0–1 West Ham were both narrow games won on a single goal in what were otherwise tightly contested fixtures. The Under 2.5 goals market would have returned on both.
Forest continue to frustrate the top six. Their 2–2 at the Etihad is another data point in a season where Vitor Pereira’s side have taken points from matches against upper-half opponents that should have been routine wins for the home side.
Matchweek 30 Fixtures and Betting Preview
Matchweek 30 takes place on 14–16 March, sandwiched around the Champions League second legs (17–18 March). Several clubs face the dual demands of European qualification and league form management during this period.
| Date | Home | Away | Betting Angle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 13 Mar | Burnley | Bournemouth | Burnley desperate for points; Bournemouth inconsistent away |
| Sat 14 Mar | Sunderland | Brighton | Brighton need to respond after Arsenal defeat |
| Sat 14 Mar | Arsenal | Everton | Arsenal heavy favourites at home in the title run-in |
| Sat 14 Mar | Chelsea | Newcastle | Post-UCL fatigue risk for Chelsea after PSG away |
| Sat 14 Mar | West Ham | Man City | City need to respond after Forest draw |
| Sun 15 Mar | Crystal Palace | Leeds | Palace flying; Leeds battling |
| Sun 15 Mar | Man United | Aston Villa | Carrick vs Villa; both need points |
| Sun 15 Mar | Nottingham Forest | Fulham | Forest will look to maintain momentum |
| Sun 15 Mar | Liverpool | Tottenham | Significant relegation context for Spurs |
| Mon 16 Mar | Brentford | Wolves | Wolves need a result; Brentford consistent |
Key Matchweek 30 Fixtures in Detail
Arsenal v Everton (Saturday 14 March) Arsenal have the opportunity to continue building their lead at the Emirates. Everton’s form under their current setup has been inconsistent but they beat Burnley 2–0 in matchweek 29 with some conviction. The case for Arsenal to win here is straightforward. The question is the margin — Arsenal have been grinding 1–0 wins rather than winning comfortably, which affects the Asian handicap and over/under assessment significantly.
West Ham v Man City (Saturday 14 March) City arrive needing a response after dropping two points at home to Forest. West Ham’s 1–0 win at Fulham showed defensive discipline but limited attacking output. This has the profile of a City away win, but City’s inconsistency this season makes automatic price-taking risky. Monitor team news for both sides — City’s squad rotation given no European commitments (they remain in the Champions League) may determine the quality of their starting line-up.
Liverpool v Tottenham (Sunday 15 March) The most significant fixture from a betting perspective. Liverpool at home against a Tottenham side in crisis, without van de Ven, having not won in 2026. The Anfield atmosphere against a vulnerable opponent should produce a comfortable home win — but Liverpool’s own inconsistency, and the fact that they face Galatasaray in the Champions League first leg on Tuesday 10 March (five days before this fixture), introduces rotation and fatigue risk. A fully committed Liverpool should win this comfortably. A rotated Liverpool is a different proposition.
Chelsea v Newcastle (Saturday 14 March) Chelsea face PSG in Paris on Wednesday 11 March. Three days later they host Newcastle — who are themselves managing Champions League commitments (second leg v Barcelona on 18 March). Both clubs will be navigating squad depth across this period. The fixture is nominally Chelsea’s to win based on current Premier League form, but the scheduling context makes team news the critical variable.
Updated Context: Title Race, Top Four and Relegation
Title race: Arsenal lead by seven points. Nine games remain. If Arsenal win their next two (Everton, then the international break returns them to league action), they move to a near-insurmountable margin. Man City’s dropped point against Forest keeps them mathematically involved but means perfection is now required.
Top four: Chelsea, Newcastle, and Liverpool are all competing for positions three and four. Liverpool’s recent form wobble has given Chelsea genuine momentum. This battle will shape the final month of the season.
Relegation: Wolves, Burnley, and either Tottenham or Crystal Palace look like the most exposed sides. Tottenham’s collapse in matchweek 29, combined with their fixture list and injury crisis, makes them genuine candidates for what would be the most dramatic Premier League relegation in the competition’s history. Leeds and Sunderland — both promoted this season — are doing enough to maintain comfortable margins.
All odds and fixture information correct at time of writing. Subject to change. Always check current odds across multiple UKGC-licensed bookmakers before placing.
Sources: Premier League official fixtures; NBC Sports; Yahoo Sports; Flashscore. All results and facts verified as of 06 March 2026.