Round 21 of the 2022-23 Spanish La Liga season wraps up Wednesday, February 15, with Real Madrid taking on Elche at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, so let’s take a closer look to get you the best betting pick and odds.
Real Madrid – Elche Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (15.2.2023)
Los Blancos meet Los Franjiverdes for the second and final time this season. Elche has never beaten Real Madrid before, and we’re expecting more of the same this Wednesday. Real Madrid is slowly but surely losing ground in the title race, so this is a big game for the reigning La Liga champions.
Real Madrid vs. Elche: Initial Situation
Through their first 20 games of the 2022-23 La Liga season, Los Blancos have earned 45 points (W14, D3, L3) and a 40:17 goal difference. They are sitting at the second spot, eight points behind Barcelona. Elche, on the other side, is laying bottom of La Liga with just nine points (W1, D6, L13) and a terrible 15:40 goal difference.
Real Madrid Stats & Form
Los Blancos just won the FIFA Club World Cup, defeating Al-Hilal 5-3 in the final this past Saturday. Federico Valverde and Vinicius Junior accounted for a brace apiece, while Karim Benzema scored a goal and chipped in with an assist. This trio has scored a thumping 41 goals in all competitions so far this season.
However, Los Blancos haven’t impressed in their last five La Liga games, tallying just a couple of wins to go with a draw and a pair of losses. Also, they’ve drawn two of their previous four home contests against Real Sociedad 0-0 and Girona 1-1.
Elche Stats & Form
Los Franjiverdes are having a horrible season and will almost certainly be relegated. Still, they are coming off their first league victory of the season. Back on February 4, Elche outlasted Villarreal 3-1 at home thanks to Pere Milla’s hat-trick, though two of his goals came from the penalty spot.
Unfortunately, Milla suffered an injury in that game and will be sidelined for a few months which is a massive blow for Elche. Milla is the team’s top scorer with seven goals in 21 matches, while Ezequiel Ponce has five goals on his season tally.
Real Madrid – Elche: Head-to-Head
Real Madrid easily defeated Elche 3-0 in their first meeting of the season. Both Karim Benzema and Federico Valverde found the back of the net, and Los Blancos kept the ball in possession for 62 percent of the time. Real Madrid has won eight of its ten encounters with Elche along with a couple of draws.
Real Madrid – Elche Odds
Los Blancos are listed as massive home favorites, and the bookmakers would be shocked by any other outcome. Both Teams to Score YES sits at 2.33 on Unibet Sportsbook, while the Over 2.5 Goals pays only 1.53 on bet365.
The odds on Los Blancos to win straight up are not attractive at all, so I have to back them to win by two or more goals. It’s hard to find value in this matchup because Elche is arguably the worst team in La Liga and Real Madrid has played in a shaky form as of late. Four of Los Blancos’ last five home victories have come by two or more goals, so I’m hoping they can get the job done against the lowly visitors. As I’ve mentioned, this is already a must-win contest for the reigning La Liga champs, and they should fare well under pressure.
Betting tip and prediction: Real Madrid – Elche (15.2.2023)