Chile vs Peru Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds
The semi-finals of the 2019 Copa America will end with the tilt between holding champions Chile and Peru, who can consider themselves very lucky for getting this far.
Chile vs Peru
- Copa America
- Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Thursday 4 July
- 01:30 UK Time
Chile vs Peru Game Preview
Both teams made it to the semi-finals after eliminating Colombia and Uruguay on penalties, and we can say both Chile and Peru were lucky to make it through, especially Los Incas. Peru didn’t attempt a single shot on target against Uruguay, and La Celeste had a couple of goals disallowed for VAR decisions, and the general opinion is that the Peruvians didn’t deserve to come this far.
Chile Team News and Latest Form
Chile are in the Copa America semi-finals, and favourites to proceed by any means, having now won their last three penalty shootouts at the Copa America. The quarter-final stalemate with Colombia was Chile’s third match in succession to separate the teams by less than 1.5 goals.
Each of Chile’s last three penalty shootout wins in the Copa America have come after a goalless 120 minutes, but their recent Copa America record against teams currently ranked lower than themselves (W7, D0, L0 – GF 26, GA 5) demands a win inside the regulation 90 minutes.
A majority (four) of Chile’s last seven Copa America meetings with teams currently ranked below them have seen La Roja win the first half to nil.
Peru Team News and Latest Form
Peru are also here after a goalless 120 minutes in their quarter-final, producing their fourth scoring blank in five Cope America outings dating back to June 2016. In turn, it is now three Copa America matches against higher-ranked opposition (as of June 2019) without a victory (D2, L1 – GF 0, GA 5).
If all matches including friendlies are brought into the equation, each of the last three games involving Peru not to end goalless have yielded a win/loss margin of over 1.5 goals (W1, L2). So too have those three matches seen the winner on the day net exactly twice in the second half.
Peru’s last three matches won/lost either way have seen the previous goal arrive beyond the 89th minute each time.
Chile vs Peru Head to Head
Chile and Peru have met on 49 occasions since 1935, and La Roja leads the all-time H2H encounters with 25 victories; Peru have 15 while nine matches ended without a winner. Los Incas were a better side in the most recent H2H duel when they defeated Chile 3-0 in a friendly, scoring all three goals in the second 45 minutes.
Chile’s last three competitive H2H meetings against Peru have seen them win the first half by a one-goal margin, and draw the second by a 1-1 scoreline. Alexis Sánchez and Édison Flores scored their nation’s respective winning penalties in the quarter-finals and were also the last goalscorers (in the second half) in their most recent Copa America victories.
Chile vs Peru Betting Tip
Both rivals are struggling to find the back of the net lately. Peru failed to do so in three of their four matches at this Copa America while Chile fired blanks in the last two games after scoring six in the opening two. That’s why I am not going to bet on the goals in this one, especially following the quarter-finals in which we saw just two goals in total; both scored by Argentina.
- Good Welcome Offer
- Very High odds
- Good Welcome Offer
- Very High odds
The 6/11 odds on under 2.5 goals are suggesting that the bookies are expecting another low-affair, and so do I. However, I will not bet on the goals, but I am backing La Roja to get a win at 10/11 with Betfair. Peru were unimpressive in the last two games at the tournament, and after failing to attempt a single shot on target against Uruguay, I don’t see them in the final.