2019 Tour de France Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions
The 106th edition of the Tour de France started on Saturday 6 July in Brussels, and for the next three weeks, we’ll watch some of the best riders battling for the yellow jersey. Geraint Thomas (Team Ineos) will defend the title, while 22 teams will participate in the race with eight riders each.
Peter Sagan (Bora-Hansgrohe) will try to retain the green jersey for the points classification. Julian Alaphilippe (Deceuninck-Quick-Step) will defend the polka dot jersey for the King of the Mountains, so we expect to see a thrilling battle in further days.
The Grand Depart finished in a bunch sprint won by Mike Teunissen (Team Jumbo-Visma). However, Teunissen wore the yellow jersey only for two days. Julian Alaphilippe won the Stage 3 and took the lead, but the odds were adjusted after Stage 2 that was a team time trial.
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General Classification – Yellow Jersey
Stage 2 brought some important changes in the general classification. Some of the favourites got time deficit, while the top contenders Egan Bernal (Team Ineos) and his teammate Geraint Thomas are now even bigger favourites.
Team Ineos finished second in the team time trial behind Jumbo-Visma, so Bernal and Thomas earned a slight advantage over all other top riders besides Steven Kruijswijk (Team Jumbo-Visma) and Enric Mas (Deceuninck-Quick-Step).
Although Geraint Thomas is the reigning champion here, the bookies listed Egan Bernal as a top favourite to win the race. You can take Bernal at 2/1 with Betway, while Thomas is set at 11/4 on the same platform. Thomas is five seconds behind Bernal at the moment.
Jakob Fuglsang (Astana) is available at 10/1 odds with 888Sport, and the 34-year old Danish is 26 seconds behind Bernal. Adam Yates (Mitchelton-Scott) and Thibaut Pinot (Groupama-FDJ) are both listed as 14/1 underdogs with Betfair as well as Steven Kruijswijk who’s 15 seconds ahead of Bernal. Pinot is just 12 seconds behind Bernal, while Adam Yates is 14 seconds behind Pinot.
Vincenzo Nibali (Bahrain-Merida) is an 18/1 underdog, according to William Hill that offers 20/1 odds on Nairo Quintana (Movistar). Richie Porte (Trek-Segafredo) is set at 25/1 odds with Ladbrokes as well as Mikel Landa (Movistar). Enric Mas and Rigoberto Uran (EF Education First) are both 28/1 dogs with William Hill, while Romain Bardet (AG2R La Mondiale) closes the favourites’ list at 33/1 with Bet365.
Points Classification – Green Jersey
Peter Sagan is looking for his seventh green jersey at Tour de France. The three-time World champion started the race as a runaway favourite, and he’s already in green with 2/9 odds to keep the jersey on BetVictor.
If Sagan stays healthy for the next three weeks, nobody can endanger him. He’s more versatile rider than any other sprinter in the race, so betting on Sagan looks like a sure shot. Michael Matthews (Sunweb) at 7/1 with Betway or Elia Viviani (Deceuninck-Quick-Step) at 8/1 with 888Sport can win the green jersey only if Sagan crashes along the way.
King of the Mountains – Polka Dot Jersey
Julian Alaphilippe will defend the title, and the 27-year old Frenchman is the strongest favourite with the odds at 5/4 with Ladbrokes or Coral. However, Alaphilippe is not a typical climber and will have a tall task to retain the polka dot jersey.
Warren Barguil (Arkea-Samsic) finished right behind Alaphilippe last year, and he’s a 7/1 dog to win the polka dot jersey with William Hill. Vincenzo Nibali is a 12/1 out-of-towner with Ladbrokes, but the Shark could be an interesting pick if he decides to battle for the polka dot jersey instead of looking for the general classification.
Tim Wellens (Lotto Soudal) is the current leader in the King of the Mountains classification, and the 28-year old Belgian will try his best to upset the odds at 16/1 with Coral. Still, Wellens will have some difficult time in Alps and Pyrenees when the real challenge starts.
Mikel Landa and Nairo Quintana will both try to fight for the yellow jersey, but one of these two riders could win the polka dot jersey for Movistar. Landa is set at 20/1 odds with BetVictor, while Quintana is a 40/1 underdog on the same platform.
Young Rider Classification – White Jersey
Egan Bernal is a runaway favourite here at 1/3 odds with Bet365 to finish the race as the best-placed rider under the age of 26. Enric Mas is the only guy who could battle with Bernal, but he will need to be pretty lucky to stand a chance of jeopardizing Bernal.
Our 2019 Tour de France Betting Tips – General Classification and Top 10 Finish
Although Egan Bernal is the bookmakers’ first choice, I’m backing Geraint Thomas to retain the title at 11/4 with Betway. Team Ineos is a former Sky Team, and Thomas is the home favourite. Hereof, Bernal will have to be in better shape than Thomas during the race to become Ineos’ first pick.
Bernal is a fantastic climber, and the 22-year old Colombian has improved his time trial where Geraint Thomas still has an advantage. You won’t make a bad choice with Bernal, for sure, but Thomas will be highly motivated to prove his worth and outstrip his young teammate.
I think nobody else will be able to join Ineos’ duo in their battle for the yellow jersey. Nairo Quintana and Richie Porte are always close, but Quintana is poor on time trial, while Porte was pretty unlucky to suffer some really dangerous crashes in the past.
Porte could be a dark horse if he stays healthy, and he looks like a nice pick at 8/11 to finish in Top 10 with BetVictor. Vincenzo Nibali’s form is a mystery, and he’s available at 10/11 to finish in Top 10 with Betway which seems like a fair price.
Keep your eyes on Thibaut Pinot who’s a 2/7 favourite to finish in Top 10 with Betway. Pinot is a pretty unpredictable rider, but 7/2 odds on him to finish in Top 3 with Betway sounds quite tempting. His compatriot Romain Bardet is a 13/2 underdog to finish among the top three riders with 888Sport, and Bardet is another sure shot at 1/4 odds to finish in Top 10 with Ladbrokes.
Also, keep in mind you can wager on Tour de France every day and lay the odds on stage winners.
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